Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego State Aztecs (10-4) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (7-8) at Viejas Arena on Saturday.

The Fresno State Bulldogs faced San Jose State and earned the victory with a final of 70-55 in their last game. Fresno State finished the game with a 51.9% FG percentage (27 out of 52) and made 6 of 18 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs buried 10 of 14 attempts for a rate of 71.4%. In reference to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 17 assists for the contest as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 6 steals. When discussing the defense, Fresno State allowed the other team to shoot 38.2% from the floor on 21 out of 55 shooting. San Jose State totaled 14 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. Additionally, San Jose State pulled down 21 boards (6 offensive, 15 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. San Jose State walked away from this one shooting 71.4% at the charity stripe by knocking down 5 of 7 shots. They made 8 of 28 tries from 3-point land. When discussing fouls, the Bulldogs walked away with 11 and San Jose State accounted for 16 fouls.

DeShawn Gory is one player who came through in the game. He walked away from this one shooting 61.5% from the field but didn't record an assist. He was on the hardwood for 37 minutes and also snagged 13 rebounds. He accounted for 16 points on 8 out of 13 shooting.

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Fresno State heads into this one with a record of 7-8 so far this season. They lose possession via turnover 14.3 times per game and as a team they are committing 16.3 fouls every game. As a team, Fresno State is snagging 35.7 boards per game and has accumulated 213 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 219th in college in terms of passing. The Bulldogs are hitting 31.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (111 of 349) and 72.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 74.1 points per game (256th in Division 1) while shooting 45.7% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bulldogs are forcing 14.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.7 fouls. They give up 28.4% on 3-point attempts while they are 118th in college in opponents points per game (70.9). The Bulldogs defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.2% (383 of 866) and they surrender 32.9 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 118th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 191 relinquished on the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the San Diego State Aztecs got the victory with a final of 73-68 when they faced Nevada. The Aztecs collected 24 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 36 for the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 7 steals in this contest. Nevada committed 17 personal fouls for this game which got the Aztecs to the free throw line for 19 attempts. They were able to bury 13 of the free throws for a rate of 68.4%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, San Diego State knocked down 4 out of their 17 tries (23.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Aztecs walked away from this one shooting 28 for 54 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.9%. The Aztecs allowed Nevada to bury 21 out of their 59 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.6% for this game. They shot 28.6% from beyond the perimeter by going 8 of 28 and ended up going 18 out of 20 at the free throw line (90.0%). In reference to how they rebounded, San Diego State allowed Nevada to snag 28 in total (12 offensive).

Miles Byrd was important for the Aztecs for the game. He earned 14 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and added 5 dimes in the game. He made 6 out of 13 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 4 rebounds.

San Diego State has a win-loss record of 10-4 this year. The Aztecs are responsible for committing 19.6 personal fouls every game and they go 73.7% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 17.1 times per contest (58th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 13.4 times per game. San Diego State has accumulated 1,166 pts this season (83.3 per contest) and they pull in 36.9 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Aztecs are hitting on 48.7% from the floor, which ranks 50th in D-1.

The San Diego State defense gives up 32.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (131 of 400) and opponents are knocking down 75.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 13.9 dimes and 34.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 218th and 161st in college hoops. The Aztecs on the defensive end are ranked 210th in college in points given up per game with 74.3. They have forced 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.5% from the field (58th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fresno State

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