Furman Paladins vs VMI Keydets Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Furman Paladins vs VMI Keydets

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA

TV: ESPN+

The Furman Paladins (16-10) are hitting the road to Cameron Hall on Saturday where they will take on the VMI Keydets (6-20).

The Furman Paladins played Mercer and took a loss by a score of 69-64 in their last game. Furman ended the contest having earned a 37.7% FG percentage (23 of 61) and converted 10 out of their 33 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Paladins knocked down 8 of 13 shots for a rate of 61.5%. In terms of grabbing boards, they compiled 32 with 6 of them being offensive. They also recorded 13 dimes for the game as well as forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In terms of defense, Furman allowed 35.9% from the field on 23 of 64 shooting. Mercer recorded 7 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. Furthermore, Mercer totaled 38 rebounds (12 offensive, 26 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Mercer went 85.7% from the charity stripe by making 18 of 21 tries. They also converted 5 of 20 attempts from 3-point range. In the matter of fouls, the Paladins left the arena with 16 while Mercer totaled 15 fouls.

Asa Thomas is a player who was a major factor in the game. He shot 37.5% from the field and also recorded 1 assist. He saw the court for 33 minutes played and pulled down 3 boards. He was able to score 14 points on 6 out of 16 shooting.

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Furman steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 16-10 on the year. They are averaging 76.3 points per outing (183rd in Division 1) on 47.4% from the field. The Paladins are shooting 32.0% on 3-pointers (233 of 728) and 67.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Furman is grabbing 38.5 boards per game and has racked up 425 assists on the year, which is 35th in the country in terms of passing. They turn it over 12.5 times per contest and as a team are committing 15.0 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Paladins are able to force 10.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.0 fouls. They are 142nd in the nation in allowing assists with 318 surrendered so far this season. The Paladins defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.8% (657 of 1,572) and they concede 32.9 boards per game as a squad. They relinquish 32.0% on shots from distance and they rank 87th in college in PPG allowed (70.2).

The last time they took the court, the VMI Keydets walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-71 when they faced UNC Greensboro. The Keydets recorded 21 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 26 for this game. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 7 steals in this matchup. UNC Greensboro earned 13 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Keydets to the charity stripe for a total of 9 attempts. They were able to knock down 7 of them for a rate of 77.8%. In regard to shooting from downtown, VMI buried 12 out of 33 tries (36.4%). In all, the Keydets ended up shooting 26 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.3%. The Keydets allowed UNC Greensboro to bury 32 of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.6% in the game. They finished the game shooting 36.8% from distance by going 14 of 38 and ended up shooting 14 out of 19 from the free throw line (73.7%). Regarding how they rebounded, VMI allowed UNC Greensboro to grab 32 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Linus Holmstrom ended up being important for the Keydets for the contest. He scored 23 points in his 32 minutes on the court and accounted for 3 assists in the matchup. He made 8 of 12 for this contest for a rate of 66.7%, but went home without a rebound.

VMI has a record of 6-20 so far this season. As an offense, the Keydets are hitting on 40.4% from the floor, which ranks them 352nd in college. VMI has accumulated 1,883 pts on the year (72.4 per contest) and they pull in 33.8 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 12.6 times per game (289th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.5 times per game. The Keydets are committing 17.1 fouls per contest and they hit 71.6% from the free throw line.

The Keydets on the defensive end are ranked 312th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 79.1. They are forcing 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.7% from the floor (278th in D-1). The VMI defense concedes 35.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (241 of 686) and opponents are converting on 71.3% of their foul shots. They surrender 17.5 assists and 40.9 total boards per game, which is ranked 359th and 361st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take VMI

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