Gonzaga Bulldogs vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-2) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the St. Mary's Gaels (26-4).

The Gonzaga Bulldogs took the court against Portland and earned the victory with a final of 89-48 in their last game. Gonzaga ended the game having earned a 52.4% FG percentage (33 of 63) and converted 14 of their 36 3-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bulldogs buried 9 of 11 attempts for a percentage of 81.8%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 31 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 25 dimes for this contest while forcing 21 turnovers and earning 12 steals. Regarding the defense, Gonzaga allowed their opponent to shoot 34.7% from the floor on 17 out of 49 shooting. Portland recorded 6 dimes and had 6 steals for this contest. In addition, Portland grabbed 26 boards (7 offensive, 19 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Portland walked away from this one shooting 83.3% at the charity stripe by making 10 of 12 shots. They also made 4 of their 20 shots from distance. When talking about fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 15 while Portland totaled 10 fouls.

Graham Ike is one player who was important in this game. He finished shooting 53.8% from the floor and distributed 1 assist. He played 31 minutes and collected 8 boards. He accounted for 19 points on 7 out of 13 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Gonzaga heads into this contest with a mark of 28-2 so far this season. They have an average of 86.9 pts per game (15th in college) while hitting 51.4% from the field. The Bulldogs are hitting 34.1% on three-point attempts (202 of 592) and 69.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Gonzaga is collecting 40.3 rebounds per game and has tallied 551 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 4th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 9.7 times per game and as a squad are committing 17.2 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.6 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 105th in college in allowing assists with 359 conceded this season. The Bulldogs defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 39.9% (683 of 1,713) and they relinquish 31.5 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 30.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 19th in college in PPG allowed (66.1).

The last time they took the court, the St. Mary's Gaels got the victory with a final of 86-67 against Santa Clara. In reference to rebounding, St. Mary's allowed Santa Clara to grab 19 overall (5 on the offensive glass). They finished 33.3% from behind the 3-point line via 8 out of 24 and ended up going 11 out of 13 from the charity stripe (84.6%). The Gaels permitted Santa Clara to convert 24 of their 59 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.7% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Gaels walked away from this one shooting 32 out of 65 from the field which gave them a percentage of 49.2%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, St. Mary's converted 11 of their 26 attempts (42.3%). They were able to knock down 11 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 78.6%. Santa Clara committed 16 fouls for this game which got the Gaels to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They also gave up possession 13 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. The Gaels snagged 29 defensive rebounds and 20 offensive boards totaling 49 for the contest.

Mikey Lewis ended up being a major contributor for the Gaels in this matchup. He knocked down 8 of 18 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 44.4%, and earned 2 rebounds. He recorded 21 points in his 33 mins on the court and accumulated 7 dimes in the matchup.

St. Mary's has a record of 26-4 on the year. As an offensive team, the Gaels are shooting 46.6% from the field, which ranks them 109th in the nation. St. Mary's has scored 2,361 pts for the year (78.7 per game) and they grab 40.3 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 15.6 times per contest (91st in the nation) and they turn it over 11.0 times per contest. The Gaels have committed 15.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 80.4% from the charity stripe.

The St. Mary's defense allows 30.4% from downtown (194 of 638) and opponents are connecting on 72.9% of their foul shots. They have conceded 12.5 assists and 28.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 107th and 3rd in college. The Gaels on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the nation in PPG surrendered with 64.4. They are able to force 10.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 40.3% from the floor (26th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Gonzaga

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.