Idaho State Bengals vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 3/2/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Idaho State Bengals vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Monday, March 2, 2026

Location: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN+

Hornet Pavilion is where the Sacramento State Hornets (9-19) will attempt to beat the Idaho State Bengals (12-17) on Monday.

The Idaho State Bengals faced Montana State and notched a win by a score of 91-76 in their last game. Idaho State finished the contest with a 57.6% FG percentage (34 of 59) and knocked down 8 of 23 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Bengals knocked down 15 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 88.2%. When discussing hauling in rebounds, they earned 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 14 dimes in the game while forcing 8 turnovers and getting 3 steals. When discussing defending, Idaho State let their opponent shoot 42.1% from the floor on 24 out of 57 shooting. Montana State recorded 9 assists and had 10 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Montana State pulled down 19 rebounds (6 offensive, 13 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Montana State finished the game shooting 77.8% at the free throw line by knocking down 21 of 27 shots. They buried 7 of their 23 shots from distance. In the matter of fouls, the Bengals ended up with 21 while Montana State accounted for 18 fouls.

Gus Etchison is one player who came through for this contest. He finished the contest at 60.0% from the field and dished out 8 assists. He saw the court for 31 minutes played and collected 3 rebounds. He totaled 36 points on 15 of 25 shooting.

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Idaho State enters this matchup with a mark of 12-17 on the season. They are averaging 74.8 pts per contest (212th in Division 1) while shooting 45.8% from the floor. The Bengals are hitting 33.4% on shots from downtown (226 of 676) and 75.2% from the charity stripe. As a team, Idaho State is collecting 32.7 boards per contest and has earned 346 dimes for the year, which ranks 311th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 11.2 times per game and as a group they are committing 17.2 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Bengals are forcing their opponents into 10.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.3 personal fouls. They rank 125th in the country in allowing assists to the opposition with 368 relinquished this year. The Bengals defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 47.2% (773 of 1,636) and they concede 29.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They surrender 35.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 235th in college in points per game allowed (75.8).

When they last played, the Sacramento State Hornets took a loss by a score of 81-73 when they faced Montana. In reference to attacking the glass, Sacramento State allowed Montana to snag 33 overall (3 offensive). They finished 37.9% from beyond the arc by going 11 out of 29 and ended up shooting 16 of 20 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Hornets allowed Montana to make 27 of their 53 tries from the field which had them sitting at 50.9% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Hornets went 27 for 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.3%. In terms of shooting from distance, Sacramento State made 5 of their 20 tries (25.0%). They were able to bury 14 of the free throws for a rate of 77.8%. Montana earned 16 personal fouls in the game which took the Hornets to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 9 steals in this contest. The Hornets were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 32 in the game.

Prophet Johnson was important for the Hornets in the matchup. He knocked down 6 out of 17 in the game giving him a rate of 35.3%, and had 7 rebounds. He scored 14 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and had 6 dimes for the game.

Sacramento State has a win-loss record of 9-19 this year. The Hornets commit 18.7 fouls every game while shooting 78.1% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 13.1 times per contest (245th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per game. Sacramento State has totaled 2,219 points on the campaign (79.3 per game) and they pull in 34.8 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Hornets are hitting on 42.5% from the floor, which is 318th in college hoops.

The Sacramento State defense surrenders 34.9% on shots from 3-point land (259 of 743) and their opposition makes 73.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 17.2 dimes and 39.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 356th and 356th in the nation. The Hornets are ranked 353rd in college in points given up per game with 83.1. They are forcing their opponents into 12.4 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (299th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Idaho State

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