Illinois State Redbirds vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 11/9/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Illinois State Redbirds vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Monday, November 9, 2026

Location: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN

TV: FS1

The Purdue Boilermakers (0-2) are welcoming the Illinois State Redbirds (1-1) at Mackey Arena on Monday.

The Illinois State Redbirds stepped onto the hardwood against Central State and took home the win by a score of 100-55 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Redbirds walked away with 15 while Central State finished the game with 11 personal fouls. They also converted 4 out of their 9 attempts from three-point range. Central State shot 50.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 4 of their 8 shots. On top of that, Central State pulled down 14 rebounds (4 offensive, 10 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Central State doled out 7 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. Regarding defending, Illinois State allowed 48.8% from the floor on 20 of 41 shooting. They also distributed 23 dimes in the game while creating 12 turnovers and having 9 steals. Concerning grabbing boards, they collected 34 with 11 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Redbirds made 18 of their 29 attempts for a percentage of 62.1%. Illinois State walked away from the contest having earned a 62.3% field goal percentage (33 of 53) and made 16 of 30 three-point attempts.

Malik Moore is one player who was a major factor for the contest. He recorded 18 points on 4 out of 7 shooting. He played 21 mins and also grabbed 6 boards. He finished 57.1% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Illinois State will enter this contest with a record of 1-1 this year. They are averaging 92.5 pts per game (78th in Division 1) while going 55.0% from the field. The Redbirds are shooting 50.9% on shots from 3-point land (29 of 57) and 65.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Illinois State is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 43 dimes on the year, which ranks 26th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.0 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Redbirds have forced 14.0 turnovers per game and they draw 19.0 fouls. They give up 29.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 194th in college in opponents points per game (72.5). The Redbirds are allowing a FG percentage of 47.1% (57 of 121) and they concede 32.5 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 263rd in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 27 conceded for the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Purdue Boilermakers took a loss by a final score of 83-80 against Valparaiso. The Boilermakers recorded 29 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 41 for this game. They also turned it over 10 times, while earning 7 steals in this contest. Valparaiso committed 25 fouls for the contest which got the Boilermakers to the free throw line for a total of 32 shots. They were able to make 27 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 84.4%. With respect to shooting from downtown, Purdue buried 5 out of their 28 tries (17.9%). In all, the Boilermakers finished the game shooting 24 for 64 from the floor which had them sitting at 37.5%. The Boilermakers allowed Valparaiso to convert 33 of 71 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.5% for the game. They finished 25.9% from distance by connecting on 7 out of 27 and ended up going 10 of 16 from the free throw line (62.5%). When talking about attacking the glass, Purdue allowed Valparaiso to collect 33 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Daniel Jacobsen was important for the Boilermakers in this contest. He converted 9 out of 13 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 69.2%, and had 10 rebounds. He scored 28 points in his 42 mins on the court and totaled 2 dimes in this contest.

Purdue has a mark of 0-2 on the season. The Boilermakers commit 19.5 personal fouls every game and they hit 79.2% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 18.0 times per contest (102nd in the nation) and they turn the ball over 10.5 times per game. Purdue has earned 152 pts so far this year and they grab 38.5 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Boilermakers are shooting 42.0% from the floor, which ranks them 251st in the nation.

The Purdue defense gives up 30.2% on 3-pointers (13 of 43) and their opponents are connecting on 72.0% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 13.5 dimes and 35.5 boards per contest, which has them ranked 221st and 198th in Division 1. The Boilermakers on the defensive end are ranked 283rd in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 80.5. They have forced 9.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the floor (253rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Purdue

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