Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, 2/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini

Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026

Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL

TV: ESPN+

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-5) will go up against the Indiana Hoosiers (17-8) at State Farm Center on Sunday.

The Indiana Hoosiers played Oregon and walked away with a win by a score of 92-74 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Hoosiers ended up finishing with 18 and Oregon accounted for 21 fouls. They also knocked down 7 out of their 19 shots from distance. Oregon ended up shooting 68.0% from the charity stripe by burying 17 of their 25 attempts. In addition, Oregon grabbed 23 boards (7 offensive, 16 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Oregon recorded 17 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. When talking about defense, Indiana allowed the other team to go 44.6% from the floor on 25 of 56 shooting. They also dished out 22 assists in addition to forcing the other team into 5 turnovers, but didn't notch a steal. In relation to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 28 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Hoosiers converted 21 of their 27 tries for a rate of 77.8%. Indiana wrapped up the game having earned a 60.0% FG percentage (30 of 50) and knocked down 11 out of their 27 shots from 3-point land.

Lamar Wilkerson is one player who played a role in the matchup. He left the arena with 41 points on 13 of 20 shooting. He played 35 mins and also totaled 5 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 65.0% from the field and also totaled 3 assists.

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Indiana will enter this game with a record of 17-8 this year. They cough up possession 10.2 times per game and as a unit they commit 18.8 fouls every game. As a team, Indiana is collecting 34.4 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 440 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 26th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Hoosiers are hitting 35.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (260 of 740) and 78.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 81.5 pts per contest (72nd in the nation) while going 47.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Hoosiers have forced 10.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 56th in college in giving up assists with 287 relinquished for the campaign. The Hoosiers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 41.3% (601 of 1,454) and they relinquish 33.0 boards per contest as a squad. They are relinquishing 31.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 116th in D-1 in points per game allowed (71.4).

In their last game, the Illinois Fighting Illini walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-90 when they played Wisconsin. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Illinois permitted Wisconsin to snag 34 in all (13 offensive). They shot 44.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 16 out of 36 and finished the game at 10 of 14 from the charity stripe (71.4%). The Fighting Illini permitted Wisconsin to make 33 out of their 76 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.4% for the game. Overall, the Fighting Illini walked away from this one shooting 32 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 53.3%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Illinois made 15 out of their 33 tries (45.5%). They were able to make 11 of them for a rate of 57.9%. Wisconsin committed 17 fouls for the contest which took the Fighting Illini to the free throw line for a total of 19 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, but didn't have a steal. The Fighting Illini collected 28 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 36 in the matchup.

Keaton Wagler was important for the Fighting Illini in this contest. He tallied 34 points in his 44 mins of playing time and had 7 assists for the contest. He made 12 out of 23 in this contest for a rate of 52.2%, and accumulated 1 rebound.

Illinois has a record of 20-5 on the year. The Fighting Illini commit 13.0 fouls per game while shooting 78.4% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 14.7 times per game (138th in the country) and they are giving up possession 9.4 times per game. Illinois has accounted for 2,118 points on the season (84.7 per game) and they grab 41.3 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Fighting Illini are connecting on 46.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 98th in college.

The Illinois defense allows 32.0% on 3-pointers (212 of 662) and opponents are connecting on 71.8% of their foul shots. They concede 13.2 assists and 31.0 total boards per game, which ranks 166th and 28th in those defensive categories. The Fighting Illini on defense are ranked 63rd in college in PPG surrendered with 68.9. They are forcing 7.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.4% from the floor (32nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Illinois

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