Jackson State Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/9/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Jackson State Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Monday, November 9, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Jackson State Tigers (1-1) are hitting the road to Humphrey Coliseum on Monday where they will go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0).

The Jackson State Tigers stepped onto the hardwood against Tulane and went home with a win by a final score of 87-85 in their last game. Concerning personal fouls, the Tigers ended up walking away with 18 and Tulane finished the game with 15 personal fouls. They also buried 8 out of their 20 tries from distance. Tulane shot 70.0% from the charity stripe by making 21 of their 30 tries. On top of that, Tulane pulled down 34 boards (9 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't have a block. Tulane dished out 16 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. Regarding defense, Jackson State allowed the other team to shoot 47.5% from the floor on 28 of 59 shooting. They also recorded 18 assists for this contest as well as forcing 16 turnovers and getting 7 steals. When discussing pulling down rebounds, they earned 27 with 7 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Tigers knocked down 20 of their 24 tries for a rate of 83.3%. Jackson State ended with a 46.8% FG percentage (29 out of 62) and converted 9 of 24 shots from downtown.

Dorian McMillian is one guy who came through for the matchup. He walked away with 23 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. He saw the court for 38 mins played and also pulled down 7 boards. He ended up going 58.3% from the floor and also distributed 2 dimes.

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Jackson State steps onto the court with a record of 1-1 on the season. They turn the ball over 17.0 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.5 personal fouls every game. As a team, Jackson State is collecting 30.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 25 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 188th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tigers are connecting on 28.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (15 of 53) and 73.7% from the free throw line. They average 64.5 points per game (296th in Division 1) while shooting 39.1% from the floor.

Defensively, the Tigers are forcing 13.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.0 fouls. They are currently ranked 314th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 32 conceded this season. The Tigers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.5% (53 of 114) and they concede 38.0 rebounds per game as a group. They give up 30.0% from beyond the arc and they are 283rd in college in PPG allowed (80.5).

When they last played, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 82-44 when they faced Northwestern State. With respect to how they rebounded, Mississippi State allowed Northwestern State to snag 29 in all (7 on the offensive side). They went 26.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 4 of 15 and ended up shooting 12 out of 25 at the charity stripe (48.0%). The Bulldogs allowed Northwestern State to convert 14 out of 47 tries from the floor which left them shooting 29.8% in the game. When all was said and done, the Bulldogs ended up going 26 for 64 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.6%. Concerning shots from beyond the arc, Mississippi State buried 8 of 28 tries (28.6%). They were able to convert 22 of them for a rate of 71.0%. Northwestern State had 20 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 31 tries. They also coughed it up 5 times, while getting 4 steals in this matchup. The Bulldogs were able to pull down 28 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards totaling 46 for the contest.

Josh Hubbard ended up being a factor for the Bulldogs for this game. He buried 4 of 10 for the game giving him a rate of 40.0%, and had 2 rebounds. He tallied 15 points in his 23 mins on the court and had 3 dimes in the matchup.

Mississippi State has a win-loss mark of 2-0 for the season. The Bulldogs commit 19.5 personal fouls per contest while shooting 73.0% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 17.0 times per contest (133rd in the country) and they turn the ball over 10.5 times per contest. Mississippi State has totaled 188 points on the year and they collect 44.5 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bulldogs are shooting 49.2% from the floor, which ranks them 112th in the country.

The Bulldogs are ranked 137th in D-1 in points given up per game with 66.0. They are forcing their opponents into 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 40.7% from the field (178th in Division 1). The Mississippi State defense gives up 27.7% on 3-point attempts (13 of 47) and opponents are making 60.0% of their free throw shots. They surrender 10.0 dimes and 30.0 total rebounds per game, which is 92nd and 78th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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