Little Rock Trojans vs Western Illinois Leathernecks Prediction, 2/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Little Rock Trojans vs Western Illinois Leathernecks

Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026

Location: Western Hall in Macomb, IL

TV: ESPN+

Western Hall is where the Western Illinois Leathernecks (4-21) will play the Little Rock Trojans (9-16) on Thursday.

The Little Rock Trojans faced off with SIU Edwardsville and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 71-61 in their last contest. When it comes to fouls, the Trojans finished with 14 and SIU Edwardsville totaled 13 fouls. They knocked down 8 of 21 tries from downtown. SIU Edwardsville ended up shooting 86.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 13 of their 15 tries. Moreover, SIU Edwardsville totaled 36 rebounds (3 offensive, 33 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. SIU Edwardsville recorded 14 assists and had 3 steals for this game. With respect to defense, Little Rock let their opponent shoot 45.5% from the floor on 25 out of 55 shooting. They also doled out 6 assists in this contest while creating 10 turnovers and getting 3 steals. When talking about getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Trojans made 7 of their 10 tries for a rate of 70.0%. Little Rock wrapped up the contest having earned a 32.9% FG percentage (23 out of 70) and knocked down 8 of their 21 3-point attempts.

Johnathan Lawson is one guy who was a factor in this matchup. He ended up going 33.3% from the field and also earned 2 assists. He saw the court for 40 minutes played and also snagged 5 rebounds. He recorded 18 points on 6 of 18 shooting.

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Little Rock will enter this game with a win-loss mark of 9-16 for the year. They are giving up possession 13.5 times per game and as a squad they commit 15.1 fouls every game. As a unit, Little Rock is pulling down 32.9 rebounds per game and has totaled 348 assists on the campaign, which is 167th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Trojans are shooting 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (162 of 461) and 68.2% from the free throw line. They average 70.2 points per contest (313th in D-1) while hitting 44.6% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Trojans have forced 14.0 turnovers per game while drawing 15.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 299th in Division 1 in allowing assists with 368 conceded for the season. The Trojans are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.5% (674 of 1,449) and they surrender 35.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 37.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 233rd in D-1 in points per game allowed (75.3).

In their last game, the Western Illinois Leathernecks took a defeat with a final score of 83-56 when they played Tennessee State. When discussing attacking the glass, Western Illinois permitted Tennessee State to grab 38 in total (10 offensive). They finished the game shooting 21.1% from distance by connecting on 4 of 19 and finished the game at 11 out of 12 at the charity stripe (91.7%). The Leathernecks permitted Tennessee State to convert 34 of 66 attempts from the field which had them at 51.5% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Leathernecks finished shooting 18 out of 54 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 33.3%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Western Illinois made 4 out of their 20 tries (20.0%). They were able to make 16 of them for a rate of 72.7%. Tennessee State earned 18 personal fouls for this game which got the Leathernecks to the charity stripe for a total of 22 attempts. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while earning 4 steals for this contest. The Leathernecks pulled down 18 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 28 in the game.

Lucas Lorenzen ended up having an impact for the Leathernecks for this game. He buried 8 of 18 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 44.4%, and totaled 6 rebounds. He recorded 24 points in his 33 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in this contest.

Western Illinois has a mark of 4-21 this year. The Leathernecks commit 16.4 personal fouls every game and they hit 68.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 8.0 times per contest (365th in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 11.8 times per game. Western Illinois has earned 1,629 pts for the year (65.2 per game) and they collect 32.8 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Leathernecks are connecting on 40.0% from the field, which is ranked 356th in the country.

The Western Illinois defense gives up 36.4% on 3-point shots (198 of 544) and opponents are knocking down 71.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 13.9 assists and 35.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 221st and 252nd in college hoops. The Leathernecks are ranked 260th in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 76.7. They have forced 10.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the floor (334th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Little Rock

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