Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 2/27/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Friday, February 27, 2026

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-11) host the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (10-20) at First National Bank Arena on Friday.

The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns faced Troy and ended up losing by a score of 78-59 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Ragin' Cajuns walked away with 18 while Troy accumulated 10 personal fouls. They made 7 of 18 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Troy finished 87.5% at the free throw line by knocking down 21 of their 24 attempts. Additionally, Troy grabbed 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Troy dished out 19 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. In terms of defense, Louisiana allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the floor on 25 out of 50 shooting. They also distributed 9 dimes in this matchup while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and getting 4 steals. With respect to pulling down boards, they earned a total of 20 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Ragin' Cajuns buried 6 of 8 tries for a rate of 75.0%. Louisiana finished the contest having earned a 42.6% field goal percentage (23 of 54) and knocked down 7 out of their 24 shots from beyond the arc.

Jaxon Olvera is one player who was a contributor for this contest. He racked up 19 points on 8 out of 13 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 26 mins played and also collected 5 boards. He finished the contest at 61.5% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime.

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Louisiana comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 10-20 this season. They have an average of 62.9 points per contest (361st in D-1) while connecting on 40.5% from the field. The Ragin' Cajuns are connecting on 33.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (233 of 688) and 71.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Louisiana is collecting 29.9 rebounds per contest and has tallied 315 dimes so far this year, which is 339th in the country in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 11.0 times per game and as a team are committing 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Ragin' Cajuns have forced 11.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 14.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 82nd in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 341 surrendered this year. The Ragin' Cajuns defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 45.6% (690 of 1,513) and they relinquish 34.0 rebounds per game as a squad. They are surrendering 36.1% on 3-point attempts and they are 72nd in D-1 in points per game from their opponents (69.6).

In their last game, the Arkansas State Red Wolves took home the win by a final score of 89-84 when they played Southern Miss. The Red Wolves pulled down 23 defensive boards and 18 offensive rebounds for a total of 41 in the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 18 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. Southern Miss had 31 personal fouls for the contest which took the Red Wolves to the charity stripe for a total of 46 shots. They were able to bury 36 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 78.3%. In relation to 3-point shots, Arkansas State converted 5 of their 20 attempts (25.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Red Wolves walked away from this one shooting 24 for 60 from the floor which had them shooting 40.0%. The Red Wolves permitted Southern Miss to bury 34 of 67 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 50.7% in the game. They finished 29.4% from downtown by shooting 5 of 17 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 21 at the free throw line (52.4%). When discussing cleaning up the glass, Arkansas State permitted Southern Miss to grab 31 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Jalen Hampton pitched in for the Red Wolves for the matchup. He racked up 17 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for the contest. He made 7 out of 13 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and had 13 rebounds.

Arkansas State has a mark of 19-11 on the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Red Wolves are connecting on 45.2% from the field, which is 185th in Division 1. Arkansas State has tallied 2,497 pts for the campaign (83.2 per contest) and they grab 41.0 boards per game. They are getting an assist 15.6 times per game (89th in college) and they turn the ball over 14.4 times per game. The Red Wolves are committing 18.8 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.7% from the charity stripe.

The Arkansas State defense gives up 32.3% on three-point shots (229 of 709) and their opponents are knocking down 70.1% of their foul shots. They relinquish 13.9 assists and 33.2 total boards per game, which ranks them 226th and 99th in college. The Red Wolves on the defensive side of the court are 289th in the nation in points per game surrendered with 77.8. They are forcing 11.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.3% from the field (189th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Louisiana

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