Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: ESPN2

Spectrum Center is the location where the Miami Hurricanes (24-7) will try to defeat the Louisville Cardinals (22-9) on Thursday in the ACC Tournament.

The Louisville Cardinals took the court against Miami and walked away with a win by a score of 92-89 in their last game. Louisville walked away from the contest with a 60.4% FG percentage (32 of 53) and knocked down 12 out of their 24 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Cardinals buried 14 of their 21 tries for a rate of 66.7%. When talking about grabbing boards, they collected a total of 19 with 5 of them being offensive. They also distributed 22 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to the defense, Louisville allowed the other team to go 56.4% from the floor on 31 of 55 shooting. Miami recorded 22 assists and had 5 steals in this game. In addition, Miami collected 25 rebounds (8 offensive, 17 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Miami walked away from this one shooting 82.6% when shooting free throws by converting 19 of 23 attempts. They buried 8 out of their 19 attempts from beyond the arc. In relation to personal fouls, the Cardinals walked away with 19 while Miami had 18 personal fouls.

Ryan Conwell is one guy who was a factor in the game. He walked away with 24 points on 7 of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes played and also pulled down 2 boards. He went 50.0% from the floor and also earned 2 assists.

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Louisville will play this game with a win-loss mark of 22-9 this year. They are averaging 85.9 points per outing (16th in college) while connecting on 47.2% from the field. The Cardinals are hitting 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (368 of 1015) and 77.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Louisville is pulling down 38.7 boards per contest and has totaled 540 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 31st in the country in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 11.6 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.6 fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Cardinals are forcing 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.8 fouls. They are 75th in college hoops in allowing assists with 381 relinquished for the year. The Cardinals defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.2% (781 of 1,850) and they surrender 33.1 rebounds per contest as a team. They are surrendering 32.6% on shots from distance while they are 139th in college in PPG allowed (72.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Miami Hurricanes took a loss by a final score of 92-89 against Louisville. Concerning how they rebounded, Miami permitted Louisville to collect 19 overall (5 on the offensive glass). They shot 50.0% from 3-point land via 12 of 24 and finished the contest at 14 out of 21 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Hurricanes permitted Louisville to convert 32 out of their 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 60.4% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Hurricanes walked away from this one shooting 31 for 55 from the floor which had them shooting 56.4%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, Miami made 8 out of their 19 tries (42.1%). They were able to convert 19 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 82.6%. Louisville was called for 19 personal fouls for this contest which got the Hurricanes to the free throw line for a total of 23 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Hurricanes were able to snag 17 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 25 for the matchup.

Tre Donaldson ended up being a major contributor for the Hurricanes in this contest. He buried 11 out of 16 in this matchup giving him a rate of 68.8%, but finished without a board. He tallied 25 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 6 assists for the game.

Miami has a mark of 24-7 this season. The Hurricanes have committed 15.4 personal fouls every game and they hit 68.1% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 16.6 times per contest (42nd in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.5 times per contest. Miami has scored 2,564 points on the campaign (82.7 per contest) and they average 37.8 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Hurricanes are hitting on 50.6% from the floor, which is ranked 10th in the country.

The Hurricanes on the defensive side of the court are 94th in college in PPG allowed with 70.7. They have forced 12.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.1% from the field (173rd in the nation). The Miami defense gives up 35.5% on shots from distance (258 of 726) and their opponents are making 69.0% of their foul shots. They have given up 13.7 dimes and 29.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 209th and 8th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Louisville

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