Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Louisville Cardinals (21-9) are traveling to Watsco Center on Saturday where they will take on the Miami Hurricanes (24-6).

The Louisville Cardinals stepped onto the hardwood against Syracuse and notched a win by a score of 77-62 in their last game. Louisville wrapped up the contest having earned a 42.9% FG percentage (27 out of 63) and made 14 out of their 35 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Cardinals converted 9 of 11 tries for a percentage of 81.8%. Concerning rebounding, they compiled a total of 35 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 17 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When discussing defending, Louisville allowed the other team to shoot 40.4% from the field on 23 of 57 shooting. Syracuse earned 8 assists and had 3 steals for the game. In addition, Syracuse snagged 33 rebounds (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Syracuse walked away from this one shooting 70.6% at the free throw line by making 12 of their 17 attempts. They knocked down 4 of 19 shots from 3-point range. When discussing personal fouls, the Cardinals ended up with 17 and Syracuse racked up 10 personal fouls.

Ryan Conwell is one guy who was important in this game. He finished the contest at 40.0% from the floor and earned 3 assists. He played 33 minutes and also collected 7 rebounds. He walked away with 23 points on 8 out of 20 shooting.

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Louisville enters this game with a record of 21-9 on the year. They are turning it over 11.8 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Louisville is pulling down 39.3 boards per contest and is sitting with 518 dimes on the season, which is 27th in the nation in terms of passing. The Cardinals are hitting 35.9% on 3-pointers (356 of 991) and 77.5% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 85.7 pts per contest (18th in D-1) while hitting 46.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Cardinals are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game while drawing 17.8 fouls. They give up 32.3% from 3-point land and they are ranked 125th in D-1 in PPG allowed (71.9). The Cardinals defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 41.8% (750 of 1,795) and they surrender 33.3 boards per contest as a team. They currently rank 65th in the nation in allowing assists with 359 conceded this year.

In their last game, the Miami Hurricanes took home the win by a final score of 77-69 when they faced SMU. The Hurricanes were able to snag 24 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the matchup. They turned the ball over 15 times, while recording 7 steals for the matchup. SMU was called for 13 fouls for this contest which got the Hurricanes to the charity stripe for 18 shots. They were able to convert 12 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 66.7%. With regard to three-point shots, Miami made 11 of their 18 tries (61.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Hurricanes ended up going 27 for 57 from the field which had them shooting 47.4%. The Hurricanes permitted SMU to knock down 26 of 63 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 41.3% for this contest. They finished 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by going 8 out of 24 and finished the game at 9 out of 11 at the charity stripe (81.8%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Miami permitted SMU to get 31 in total (11 offensive).

Tre Donaldson ended up being a factor for the Hurricanes in this contest. He buried 6 of 15 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and totaled 7 rebounds. He accumulated 17 points in his 36 mins on the court and added 9 assists in this game.

Miami has a mark of 24-6 this season. When it comes to offense, the Hurricanes are hitting on 50.4% from the floor, which ranks them 10th in the nation. Miami has tallied 2,475 pts for the season (82.5 per game) and they average 38.2 boards per game. They are getting an assist 16.4 times per game (50th in college) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.6 times per contest. The Hurricanes are committing 15.3 personal fouls every game and they connect on 67.6% from the free throw line.

The Miami defense allows 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (246 of 702) and their opponents are knocking down 69.1% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 13.4 assists and 29.6 rebounds every game, which is 189th and 10th in college. The Hurricanes on the defensive side of the court are 75th in college in PPG given up with 70.0. They are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.6% from the floor (143rd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Louisville

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