Marist Red Foxes vs Fairfield Stags Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Marist Red Foxes vs Fairfield Stags

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT

TV: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags (14-10) are welcoming the Marist Red Foxes (15-7) at Leo D. Mahoney Arena on Saturday.

The Marist Red Foxes took the court against Niagara and notched a win by a score of 58-46 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Red Foxes ended up finishing with 14 and Niagara finished the game with 14 personal fouls. They converted 7 of their 18 shots from three-point range. Niagara finished 63.6% from the free throw line by burying 7 of 11 shots. Moreover, Niagara collected 32 rebounds (13 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Niagara earned 9 assists and had 6 steals in this game. In regard to defense, Marist allowed the other team to go 29.1% from the field on 16 of 55 shooting. They also recorded 9 dimes in this game as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 6 steals. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 28 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Red Foxes converted 13 of 15 tries for a rate of 86.7%. Marist walked away from the contest having earned a 42.9% FG percentage (21 out of 49) and buried 3 out of their 12 shots from 3-point land.

Rhyjon Blackwell is a guy who played a role for the matchup. He went 42.9% from the field and totaled 2 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 30 minutes and snagged 2 boards. He ended up scoring 13 points on 3 out of 7 shooting.

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Marist steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 15-7 on the season. They are averaging 71.0 pts per game (305th in the nation) while hitting 45.3% from the floor. The Red Foxes are shooting 31.8% on three-point shots (143 of 450) and 79.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Marist is pulling down 35.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 340 assists for the year, which ranks 136th in college in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 11.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.0 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Red Foxes are forcing 13.5 turnovers per game and they draw 15.0 fouls. They concede 28.0% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 5th in college hoops in PPG allowed (63.0). The Red Foxes are allowing a shooting percentage of 39.2% (470 of 1,200) and they relinquish 33.9 boards per game as a unit. They currently rank 2nd in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 212 conceded for the campaign.

For their last game, the Fairfield Stags took a loss by a score of 72-65 against Quinnipiac. In regard to rebounding, Fairfield permitted Quinnipiac to snag 25 in all (9 offensive). They shot 18.2% from 3-point land by connecting on 2 out of 11 and finished the contest at 6 of 9 from the free throw line (66.7%). The Stags allowed Quinnipiac to make 32 out of their 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 52.5% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Stags shot 26 out of 75 from the floor which gave them a rate of 34.7%. Concerning shots from distance, Fairfield knocked down 6 of 21 attempts (28.6%). They were able to knock down 7 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 53.8%. Quinnipiac was called for 16 personal fouls for this game which took the Stags to the charity stripe for 13 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 8 times, while getting 11 steals for the game. The Stags snagged 18 defensive boards and 19 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for this game.

Braden Sparks was important for the Stags in this game. He made 5 out of 20 for this contest for a field goal rate of 25.0%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He tallied 13 points in his 31 mins of playing time and accounted for 4 dimes for this game.

Fairfield has a win-loss mark of 14-10 this year. The Stags commit 15.3 fouls per game and they go 71.4% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 11.9 times per game (321st in the nation) and they are turning it over 9.8 times per game. Fairfield has totaled 1,811 points so far this season (75.5 per game) and they collect 39.2 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offense, the Stags are connecting on 42.8% from the floor, which ranks them 301st in the country.

The Fairfield defense concedes 33.9% on shots from distance (167 of 492) and their opposition knocks down 75.0% of their foul shots. They have allowed 13.6 assists and 34.8 total boards per game, which has them ranked 201st and 199th in those defensive categories. The Stags on defense are ranked 147th in college hoops in points given up per game with 72.4. They are forcing their opponents into 11.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the floor (244th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Marist

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