Marshall Thundering Herd vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

The Marshall Thundering Herd (13-8) are traveling to First National Bank Arena on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (13-9).

The Marshall Thundering Herd played Texas State and ended up losing by a score of 72-68 in their last contest. Marshall finished the game with a 45.2% field goal percentage (28 of 62) and knocked down 5 of their 22 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Thundering Herd knocked down 7 of their 12 tries for a rate of 58.3%. With respect to pulling down boards, they compiled 28 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 10 assists for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In relation to defending, Marshall allowed the other team to go 44.8% from the floor on 26 of 58 shooting. Texas State totaled 14 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Texas State collected 37 rebounds (10 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Texas State went 68.4% from the charity stripe by making 13 of their 19 attempts. They also made 7 of their 15 tries from beyond the perimeter. In reference to personal fouls, the Thundering Herd ended up finishing with 17 and Texas State racked up 15 personal fouls.

Wyatt Fricks is one guy who was a factor for the game. He accounted for 16 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 35 minutes and collected 2 rebounds. He shot 58.3% from the field but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Marshall will enter this game with a mark of 13-8 so far this year. They are turning it over 12.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.4 personal fouls every game. As a team, Marshall is collecting 39.1 boards per game and is sitting with 358 dimes so far this year, which is 42nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Thundering Herd are hitting 36.7% on 3-pointers (216 of 589) and 73.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 80.6 points per contest (92nd in the country) while connecting on 46.2% from the field.

On defense, the Thundering Herd are able to force 12.1 turnovers per game and they draw 17.1 fouls. They are ranked 89th in college hoops in giving up assists with 254 conceded so far this season. The Thundering Herd defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.3% (522 of 1,263) and they surrender 35.6 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 32.5% on 3-point shots and they are 211th in D-1 in points per game allowed (74.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Arkansas State Red Wolves walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-71 against Old Dominion. The Red Wolves were able to corral 30 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 41 in the matchup. They also coughed it up 15 times, while earning 9 steals for this contest. Old Dominion had 17 fouls in this game which got the Red Wolves to the free throw line for 17 tries. They were able to convert 11 of the free throw tries for a rate of 64.7%. When it comes to three-point attempts, Arkansas State knocked down 10 out of 30 tries (33.3%). When the game finished, the Red Wolves finished shooting 25 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.7%. The Red Wolves permitted Old Dominion to bury 28 of 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.2% in the matchup. They shot 34.8% from three-point range by hitting 8 out of 23 and ended up going 11 of 14 from the charity stripe (78.6%). When it comes to rebounding, Arkansas State allowed Old Dominion to get 30 in total (3 on the offensive side).

Christian Harmon ended up being a factor for the Red Wolves for the matchup. He earned 20 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and totaled 2 dimes in this contest. He made 6 of 13 for the contest giving him a rate of 46.2%, and accumulated 7 rebounds.

Arkansas State has a mark of 13-9 on the year. As an offense, the Red Wolves are connecting on 45.1% from the floor, which ranks 190th in college. Arkansas State has accounted for 1,814 points so far this season (82.5 per game) and they collect 39.8 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 15.4 times per game (105th in college) and they are turning it over 14.3 times per contest. The Red Wolves have committed 18.8 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 76.6% from the charity stripe.

The Arkansas State defense concedes 32.0% on 3-pointers (162 of 506) and opponents are knocking down 70.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 13.6 assists and 33.2 boards per game, which has them ranked 204th and 99th in college. The Red Wolves on the defensive end are ranked 313th in college in points allowed per game with 79.1. They are able to force 11.6 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.8% from the field (284th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas State

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