Memphis Tigers vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 2/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026

Location: The Super Pit in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Memphis Tigers (12-11) are hitting the road to The Super Pit on Thursday where they will try to defeat the North Texas Mean Green (13-11).

The Memphis Tigers faced Charlotte and earned the victory with a final of 77-54 in their last game. Memphis finished the contest having earned a 46.0% field goal percentage (29 out of 63) and buried 6 out of their 20 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Tigers made 13 of 18 shots for a rate of 72.2%. In relation to pulling down boards, they earned 38 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 17 assists in the game in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 10 steals. With respect to defending, Memphis allowed the other team to go 36.8% from the field on 21 out of 57 shooting. Charlotte distributed 8 assists and had 6 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Charlotte grabbed 26 rebounds (5 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Charlotte shot 55.6% when shooting free throws by knocking down 5 of their 9 attempts. They also made 7 of 32 attempts from beyond the perimeter. When talking about fouls, the Tigers ended up finishing with 13 and Charlotte finished the game with 16 fouls.

Aaron Bradshaw is someone who was a factor for the contest. He totaled 16 points on 7 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 24 mins played and pulled down 6 boards. He finished 63.6% from the floor and recorded 1 assist.

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Memphis comes into this matchup with a mark of 12-11 for the campaign. They are giving up possession 14.2 times per game and as a team are committing 19.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Memphis is snagging 37.4 rebounds per contest and has 324 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 240th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tigers are connecting on 32.3% on shots from beyond the arc (160 of 496) and 71.5% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 75.0 points per outing (216th in the nation) while going 43.8% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tigers are able to force 14.3 turnovers per game while drawing 17.9 fouls. They give up 29.7% on shots from distance and they are 150th in the nation in PPG from their opponents (72.6). The Tigers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 40.8% (552 of 1,353) and they surrender 36.5 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 147th in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 313 conceded for the year.

For their last game, the North Texas Mean Green got the victory with a final of 81-58 when they played UTSA. With respect to how they attacked the glass, North Texas permitted UTSA to get 27 in total (9 offensive). They finished shooting 13.3% from three-point range by going 2 of 15 and ended up going 12 out of 18 from the free throw line (66.7%). The Mean Green allowed UTSA to convert 22 of 53 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 41.5% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Mean Green went 29 for 66 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.9%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, North Texas knocked down 4 of 18 tries (22.2%). They were able to make 19 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 82.6%. UTSA had 17 fouls for this game which took the Mean Green to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 14 steals in this game. The Mean Green snagged 23 defensive rebounds and 20 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 for the game.

Cole Franklin ended up having an impact for the Mean Green for the matchup. He scored 21 points in his 28 minutes of playing time, but finished this game without an assist. He knocked down 9 of 14 in this contest for a rate of 64.3%, and had 7 rebounds.

North Texas has a win-loss record of 13-11 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mean Green are shooting 42.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 301st in the country. North Texas has accounted for 1,695 points this year (70.6 per game) and they average 34.6 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 12.9 times per contest (267th in college) and they are turning it over 12.3 times per game. The Mean Green commit 19.6 personal fouls every game and they go 69.4% from the free throw line.

The Mean Green defensively are ranked 23rd in college in PPG allowed with 66.2. They are forcing 15.8 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the field (65th in Division 1). The North Texas defense allows 29.2% on shots from 3-point land (137 of 469) and opponents are making 71.2% of their foul shots. They have allowed 10.5 dimes and 35.0 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 13th and 212th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Memphis

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