Mercer Bears vs Citadel Bulldogs Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mercer Bears vs Citadel Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: McAlister Field House in Charleston, SC

TV: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears (16-10) are traveling to McAlister Field House on Saturday where they will go up against the Citadel Bulldogs (9-17).

The Mercer Bears faced off with Furman and walked away with a win by a score of 69-64 in their last game. Mercer ended the contest with a 35.9% FG percentage (23 out of 64) and made 5 of 20 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Bears made 18 of their 21 shots for a rate of 85.7%. In relation to grabbing boards, they collected 38 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 7 assists in the game in addition to creating 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In terms of defending, Mercer allowed the other team to go 37.7% from the floor on 23 of 61 shooting. Furman earned 13 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Furthermore, Furman snagged 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Furman ended up going 61.5% at the charity stripe by converting 8 of 13 attempts. They knocked down 10 of their 33 shots from beyond the perimeter. In relation to personal fouls, the Bears ended up walking away with 15 while Furman finished the game with 16 personal fouls.

Baraka Okojie is one guy who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up finishing with 25 points on 6 of 16 shooting. He played for 38 minutes and also totaled 4 rebounds. He ended up going 37.5% from the floor and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Mercer comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 16-10 for the year. They are turning it over 10.6 times per game and as a squad are committing 15.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Mercer is snagging 39.5 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 372 dimes on the season, which is 116th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Bears are connecting on 33.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (231 of 692) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 83.4 points per contest (45th in D-1) while hitting 45.1% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Bears are able to force 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.7 fouls. They are 191st in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 334 surrendered this season. The Bears are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.7% (695 of 1,629) and they surrender 36.8 boards per contest as a squad. They are giving up 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 226th in college in points per game allowed (75.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Citadel Bulldogs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 87-49 against Western Carolina. When discussing rebounding, Citadel permitted Western Carolina to grab 39 in total (11 offensive). They finished the game shooting 48.1% from behind the 3-point line by going 13 of 27 and ended up shooting 6 of 11 at the free throw line (54.5%). The Bulldogs permitted Western Carolina to convert 34 of their 61 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 55.7% for this game. In all, the Bulldogs shot 15 out of 52 from the field which had them at 28.8%. In reference to 3-pointers, Citadel made 6 out of their 27 attempts (22.2%). They were able to make 13 of them for a clip of 92.9%. Western Carolina earned 17 personal fouls in this contest which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 14 attempts. They gave up possession 11 times, while getting 5 steals for this contest. The Bulldogs were able to collect 17 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 22 for the matchup.

Sola Adebisi was important for the Bulldogs in the game. He racked up 10 points in his 33 mins on the court, but didn't get an assist. He knocked down 3 out of 6 for the game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 2 rebounds.

Citadel has a win-loss mark of 9-17 this season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 42.0% from the field, which has them ranked 322nd in D-1. Citadel has scored 1,813 points for the year (69.7 per game) and they grab 33.8 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.6 times per contest (285th in college) and they turn it over 10.8 times per game. The Bulldogs are committing 16.2 personal fouls per contest and they hit 69.2% from the free throw line.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 253rd in the country in PPG given up with 76.4. They are forcing their opponents into 9.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.6% from the field (339th in the country). The Citadel defense allows 35.4% on three-point shots (229 of 647) and opponents are converting on 68.4% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 14.1 dimes and 35.4 total boards per game, which ranks them 239th and 235th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mercer

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