Merrimack Warriors vs Marist Red Foxes Prediction, 1/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Merrimack Warriors vs Marist Red Foxes

Date: Monday, January 19, 2026

Location: McCann Arena in Poughkeepsie, NY

TV: ESPN+

The Marist Red Foxes (11-5) will try to beat the Merrimack Warriors (10-8) at McCann Arena on Monday.

The Merrimack Warriors played St. Peter's and went home with a loss by a final score of 76-63 in their last game. Merrimack walked away from the game having earned a 42.3% FG percentage (22 of 52) and made 2 out of their 18 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Warriors made 17 of 21 tries for a percentage of 81.0%. When discussing getting rebounds, they collected 25 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 9 assists in the game as well as creating 14 turnovers and having 10 steals. When discussing defending, Merrimack allowed 52.1% from the floor on 25 of 48 shooting. St. Peter's distributed 16 assists and had 7 steals for this contest. On top of that, St. Peter's had 34 boards (15 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. St. Peter's went 70.0% at the free throw line by converting 21 of their 30 attempts. They also made 5 of 13 shots from downtown. Regarding fouls, the Warriors walked away with 22 and St. Peter's racked up 18 fouls.

Ernest Shelton is a player who was a major factor for this game. He finished the game at 33.3% from the floor and recorded 1 assist. He was on the hardwood for 38 mins played and snagged 2 rebounds. He notched 18 points on 4 of 12 shooting.

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Merrimack enters this one with a mark of 10-8 for the season. They are averaging 66.4 points per outing (344th in Division 1) while hitting 40.1% from the field. The Warriors are hitting 30.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (141 of 461) and 76.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Merrimack is grabbing 27.7 rebounds per game and has racked up 217 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 286th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 9.8 times per contest and as a group they are committing 17.4 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Warriors are able to force 12.7 turnovers every game and they draw 16.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 224th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 241 surrendered on the campaign. The Warriors defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 44.4% (447 of 1,007) and they surrender 40.6 boards per contest as a unit. They give up 30.7% on 3-point shots and they rank 108th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (70.8).

The last time they took the court, the Marist Red Foxes got the win with a final of 71-49 against Rider. The Red Foxes snagged 31 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 38 in the game. They coughed up the ball 7 times, while recording 6 steals in this matchup. Rider was called for 11 fouls in this game which got the Red Foxes to the free throw line for 6 attempts. They were able to make 5 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. When it comes to shots from distance, Marist buried 8 out of 21 tries (38.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Red Foxes finished the game shooting 29 out of 63 from the floor which had them sitting at 46.0%. The Red Foxes allowed Rider to knock down 18 of their 47 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 38.3% in this contest. They went 16.7% from three-point range by shooting 1 of 6 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 21 at the free throw line (57.1%). When talking about how they rebounded, Marist allowed Rider to collect 28 in total (3 on the offensive side).

Justin Menard pitched in for the Red Foxes in the game. He converted 6 out of 9 in this game for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. He earned 15 points in his 22 mins on the court and totaled 2 assists in this matchup.

Marist has a win-loss record of 11-5 for the season. When it comes to offense, the Red Foxes are shooting 45.1% from the field, which ranks 203rd in college hoops. Marist has scored 1,157 points so far this year (72.3 per contest) and they average 37.1 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 16.1 times per contest (83rd in the country) and they cough up possession 11.5 times per contest. The Red Foxes are responsible for committing 16.8 personal fouls per contest and they hit 78.1% from the charity stripe.

The Red Foxes defensively are ranked 4th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 61.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 38.5% from the floor (11th in the country). The Marist defense gives up 27.2% on 3-point attempts (90 of 331) and opponents are making 69.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 9.8 dimes and 34.0 boards every game, which has them ranked 8th and 153rd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Merrimack

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