Miami Hurricanes vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 3/22/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026

Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+7)

The Purdue Boilermakers (28-8) welcome the Miami Hurricanes (26-8) at Enterprise Center on Sunday in the round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. Purdue opens as 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 147.

The Miami Hurricanes faced Missouri and earned the victory with a final of 80-66 in their last game. Miami ended the contest having earned a 43.3% FG percentage (26 out of 60) and made 11 out of their 24 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Hurricanes buried 17 of 29 attempts for a rate of 58.6%. In terms of grabbing boards, they compiled 42 with 13 of them being offensive. They also recorded 19 assists for this game as well as forcing 9 turnovers and having 7 steals. Pertaining to defense, Miami allowed 35.1% from the floor on 20 of 57 shooting. Missouri earned 16 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Missouri had 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Missouri finished the contest at 88.9% at the free throw line by making 16 of 18 tries. They also made 10 out of their 28 tries from beyond the perimeter. When it comes to fouls, the Hurricanes left the arena with 16 while Missouri finished the game with 21 fouls.

Malik Reneau is one player who was a major factor in this contest. He walked away from this one shooting 43.8% from the field and dished out 3 dimes. He played for 37 minutes played and also totaled 6 boards. He scored 24 points on 7 of 16 shooting.

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Miami will play this contest with a mark of 26-8 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 11.1 times per game and as a team are committing 15.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is snagging 37.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 550 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 48th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Hurricanes are shooting 35.1% on shots from 3-point land (228 of 649) and 68.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 81.9 pts per game (53rd in Division 1) while going 49.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Hurricanes are able to force 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.1 personal fouls. They give up 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 102nd in college in opponents points per game (71.0). The Hurricanes defense is giving up a FG percentage of 44.2% (864 of 1,954) and they surrender 29.8 boards per game as a unit. They rank 268th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 474 relinquished on the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Purdue Boilermakers got the win with a final of 104-71 when they faced Queens. In the matter of rebounding, Purdue allowed Queens to get 17 overall (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 28.0% from beyond the arc by going 7 out of 25 and finished the contest at 4 of 5 at the charity stripe (80.0%). The Boilermakers allowed Queens to bury 30 out of 65 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 46.2% for the game. When all was said and done, the Boilermakers shot 41 for 65 from the floor which had them shooting 63.1%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, Purdue knocked down 14 of 24 tries (58.3%). They were able to knock down 8 of them for a rate of 66.7%. Queens earned 12 fouls for this game which took the Boilermakers to the free throw line for 12 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 5 steals in this contest. The Boilermakers corralled 24 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards totaling 37 for this contest.

Braden Smith ended up being a factor for the Boilermakers for the matchup. He earned 26 points in his 32 minutes on the court and totaled 8 assists in this game. He made 10 out of 15 in this contest for a rate of 66.7%, and accumulated 3 rebounds.

Purdue has a win-loss mark of 28-8 for the campaign. The Boilermakers are responsible for committing 14.6 personal fouls every game and they shoot 74.1% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 20.0 times per game (3rd in college hoops) and they are turning it over 8.9 times per contest. Purdue has 2,962 points on the season (82.3 per game) and they average 35.6 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Boilermakers are shooting 50.3% from the floor, which ranks 9th in D-1.

The Boilermakers on defense are ranked 75th in college hoops in points given up per game with 70.2. They are able to force 10.2 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.6% from the floor (211th in college hoops). The Purdue defense gives up 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc (313 of 920) and their opponents are knocking down 72.1% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 14.8 dimes and 28.2 rebounds per game, ranking them 282nd and 2nd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+7)

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