Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 3/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Location: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX

TV: ACC Network

Moody Coliseum is the site where the SMU Mustangs (19-10) will go up against the Miami Hurricanes (23-6) on Wednesday.

The Miami Hurricanes faced Boston College and earned the victory with a final of 76-54 in their last game. Miami finished the game with a 50.0% field goal percentage (29 out of 58) and knocked down 7 of their 20 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Hurricanes made 11 of their 18 attempts for a percentage of 61.1%. In relation to pulling down rebounds, they earned 31 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 15 assists for the contest while creating 16 turnovers and earning 14 steals. With respect to defending, Miami let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the floor on 20 of 50 shooting. Boston College dished out 9 assists and had 7 steals in this game. In addition, Boston College grabbed 23 rebounds (5 offensive, 18 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Boston College finished shooting 75.0% when shooting free throws by converting 9 of their 12 shots. They also made 5 of 22 tries from distance. In reference to fouls, the Hurricanes ended up finishing with 13 and Boston College had 15 fouls.

Tre Donaldson is someone who was a major contributor for the game. He accounted for 15 points on 6 of 13 shooting. He played 30 minutes and also totaled 3 boards. He shot 46.2% from the floor and also totaled 3 dimes.

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Miami comes into this one with a record of 23-6 for the campaign. They are turning it over 11.4 times per game and as a team they commit 15.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 38.2 boards per game and has totaled 472 dimes on the year, which is 70th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Hurricanes are connecting on 34.1% on three-point attempts (189 of 555) and 67.6% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.7 pts per contest (48th in the nation) while shooting 50.5% from the field.

On defense, the Hurricanes are able to force 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They are 156th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 391 surrendered on the year. The Hurricanes are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (728 of 1,666) and they surrender 29.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 35.1% from beyond the arc while they are 79th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (70.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the SMU Mustangs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 95-75 when they faced Stanford. The Mustangs were able to collect 17 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 25 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 2 steals for the contest. Stanford had 18 personal fouls for this game which got the Mustangs to the free throw line for a total of 20 tries. They were able to bury 14 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.0%. When talking about shooting from distance, SMU converted 7 out of 18 tries (38.9%). Overall, the Mustangs shot 27 for 57 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.4%. The Mustangs permitted Stanford to convert 26 out of 51 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.0% for this game. They went 51.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 14 out of 27 and finished the contest at 29 out of 32 at the free throw line (90.6%). In regard to cleaning the glass, SMU permitted Stanford to snag 26 in total (7 offensive).

Kevin Miller ended up having an impact for the Mustangs in this contest. He converted 7 out of 16 for this contest giving him a rate of 43.8%, and accumulated 3 rebounds. He racked up 26 points in his 36 mins of playing time and accumulated 5 dimes in the game.

SMU has a win-loss record of 19-10 for the season. The Mustangs are committing 17.2 fouls per contest while shooting 74.5% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 17.4 times per game (21st in the country) and they are giving up possession 11.2 times per contest. SMU has accounted for 2,488 points so far this season (85.8 per contest) and they average 37.8 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Mustangs are hitting on 49.8% from the field, which ranks them 17th in the country.

The Mustangs are ranked 296th in D-1 in PPG given up with 78.0. They are forcing their opponents into 12.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the field (113th in college). The SMU defense allows 33.4% on shots from distance (283 of 848) and opponents are making 72.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 16.3 dimes and 34.3 rebounds every game, which ranks 345th and 185th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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