Miami RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 1/9/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Friday, January 9, 2026

Location: Savage Arena in Toledo, OH

TV: ESPN+

Savage Arena is where the Toledo Rockets (9-6) will go up against the Miami RedHawks (16-0) on Friday.

The Miami RedHawks faced Western Michigan and notched a win by a score of 87-76 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the RedHawks left the arena with 19 and Western Michigan racked up 27 personal fouls. They also buried 4 of 16 shots from distance. Western Michigan finished the game shooting 72.7% from the charity stripe by burying 16 of 22 attempts. In addition, Western Michigan snagged 29 rebounds (11 offensive, 18 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Western Michigan recorded 10 dimes and had 8 steals for the game. Concerning defense, Miami allowed 42.4% from the field on 28 out of 66 shooting. They also recorded 12 assists in the matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned 37 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the RedHawks converted 27 of their 34 attempts for a percentage of 79.4%. Miami wrapped up the game with a 50.0% field goal percentage (27 of 54) and knocked down 6 of their 26 shots from 3-point land.

Almar Atlason is one guy who came through for the game. He walked away from this one shooting 60.0% from the field and dished out 2 dimes. He was on the court for 23 minutes and also totaled 4 boards. He accounted for 21 points on 6 of 10 shooting.

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Miami enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 16-0 on the campaign. They have an average of 93.3 pts per contest (10th in D-1) while hitting 53.4% from the field. The RedHawks are connecting on 41.6% on three-point shots (182 of 437) and 78.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is collecting 36.9 boards per contest and has accounted for 277 dimes so far this year, which ranks 35th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 11.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 16.1 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the RedHawks are forcing their opponents into 13.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.1 personal fouls. They rank 155th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 199 relinquished this season. The RedHawks defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.8% (413 of 988) and they relinquish 31.7 boards per contest as a squad. They are giving up 30.2% on shots from downtown and they rank 153rd in college in PPG allowed (72.3).

When they last stepped on the court, the Toledo Rockets took home the win by a final score of 75-61 when they played Northern Illinois. Regarding attacking the glass, Toledo allowed Northern Illinois to snag 33 in total (10 offensive). They went 34.5% from three-point range by shooting 10 of 29 and finished the game at 7 out of 11 from the charity stripe (63.6%). The Rockets permitted Northern Illinois to knock down 22 out of their 56 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.3% for the contest. When all was said and done, the Rockets finished 29 out of 58 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. Concerning shots from distance, Toledo made 5 of their 12 tries (41.7%). They were able to convert 12 of them for a percentage of 63.2%. Northern Illinois was called for 15 fouls in the game which took the Rockets to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 12 steals for the matchup. The Rockets were able to snag 21 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 27 in the game.

Kyler Vanderjagt was important for the Rockets for the contest. He earned 18 points in his 31 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for this contest. He converted 5 of 6 for the game for a rate of 83.3%, and added 4 rebounds.

Toledo has a mark of 9-6 on the year. As an offensive unit, the Rockets are connecting on 47.2% from the field, which is 97th in college. Toledo has tallied 1,232 pts for the season (82.1 per contest) and they pull in 36.0 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 16.4 times per contest (78th in D-1) and they turn it over 10.8 times per game. The Rockets have committed 14.5 fouls every game and they shoot 76.8% from the free throw line.

The Rockets on the defensive end are ranked 263rd in college in points allowed per contest with 76.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the field (324th in D-1). The Toledo defense allows 34.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (128 of 370) and opponents are connecting on 67.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 16.1 dimes and 35.1 rebounds every game, ranking them 323rd and 212th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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