Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 11/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan State (+6.0)

The Michigan State Spartans (2-0) are headed to United Center on Tuesday where they will meet the Duke Blue Devils (2-0). Duke opens this matchup as 6.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 147.5.

The Michigan State Spartans faced Toledo and earned the victory with a final of 91-61 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Spartans ended up walking away with 24 and Toledo had 25 personal fouls. They also knocked down 5 out of their 21 shots from beyond the arc. Toledo finished 62.1% from the free throw line by converting 18 of 29 shots. Moreover, Toledo totaled 22 rebounds (6 offensive, 16 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Toledo distributed 9 assists and had 8 steals for this contest. In the matter of the defense, Michigan State allowed 33.3% from the floor on 19 of 57 shooting. They also distributed 22 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When talking about getting rebounds, they collected 46 with 14 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Spartans converted 23 of their 38 tries for a rate of 60.5%. Michigan State wrapped up the game having earned a 50.9% field goal percentage (29 of 57) and converted 10 of their 24 3-pointers.

Jasiah Jervis is a guy who was a factor in the game. He notched 16 points on 5 out of 9 shooting. He played 26 minutes played and collected 5 rebounds. He ended up shooting 55.6% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist.

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Michigan State heads into this game with a mark of 2-0 on the campaign. They turn it over 13.0 times per game and as a squad are committing 22.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Michigan State is pulling down 49.0 boards per game and has racked up 44 assists for the year, which is 61st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Spartans are hitting 40.4% on shots from beyond the arc (19 of 47) and 59.4% from the free throw line. They average 93.5 pts per game (51st in the country) while hitting 54.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Spartans have forced 14.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 22.0 fouls. They rank 139th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 24 surrendered for the year. The Spartans defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 34.5% (39 of 113) and they surrender 27.0 rebounds per game as a team. They surrender 26.2% from 3-point land and they rank 59th in college in points per game allowed (60.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Duke Blue Devils walked away with a victory by a final of 113-52 when they faced Coastal Carolina. In the matter of rebounds, Duke allowed Coastal Carolina to grab 25 in all (10 on the offensive side). They shot 18.2% from distance by shooting 4 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 17 at the free throw line (58.8%). The Blue Devils permitted Coastal Carolina to bury 19 of 63 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.2% in the matchup. When all was said and done, the Blue Devils ended up shooting 38 for 62 from the floor which had them shooting 61.3%. When talking about shots from beyond the perimeter, Duke converted 11 out of their 22 tries (50.0%). They were able to make 26 of those for a rate of 63.4%. Coastal Carolina was called for 29 fouls in this game which got the Blue Devils to the charity stripe for 41 tries. They also gave up possession 15 times, while earning 12 steals in this contest. The Blue Devils pulled down 36 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 44 for the game.

Patrick Ngongba II ended up having an impact for the Blue Devils for the matchup. He had 28 points in his 25 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 10 out of 13 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 76.9%, and added 9 rebounds.

Duke has a mark of 2-0 this season. The Blue Devils are committing 18.0 personal fouls per game and they shoot 71.6% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 20.0 times per game (45th in college) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per game. Duke has 197 pts for the campaign (98.5 per contest) and they pull in 45.0 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Blue Devils are hitting on 55.4% from the field, which has them ranked 14th in the nation.

The Duke defense concedes 23.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (12 of 52) and opponents are converting on 61.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 10.5 assists and 27.5 rebounds every game, ranking them 93rd and 30th in college. The Blue Devils defensively are ranked 14th in college in PPG surrendered with 51.0. They are able to force 20.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 32.2% from the field (25th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michigan State (+6.0)

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