Michigan State Spartans vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, 1/20/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Oregon Ducks

Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Location: Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, OR

TV: ESPN+

Matthew Knight Arena is the site where the Oregon Ducks (8-10) will try to defeat the Michigan State Spartans (16-2) on Tuesday.

The Michigan State Spartans faced Washington and took home the win by a score of 80-63 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Spartans walked away with 11 and Washington finished the game with 15 personal fouls. They also buried 3 of their 19 attempts from downtown. Washington ended up going 76.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 10 of their 13 tries. On top of that, Washington snagged 26 rebounds (2 offensive, 24 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Washington recorded 15 dimes and had 4 steals in this contest. Concerning the defense, Michigan State allowed 47.2% from the floor on 25 out of 53 shooting. They also doled out 14 assists for this game while creating 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 33 with 8 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Spartans made 12 of 18 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Michigan State ended the contest having earned a 47.7% field goal percentage (31 of 65) and converted 6 of 19 shots from beyond the arc.

Jeremy Fears Jr. is one player who came through in this game. He shot 66.7% from the floor and also totaled 5 assists. He saw the court for 29 mins and also grabbed 1 rebound. He accounted for 19 points on 6 out of 9 shooting.

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Michigan State enters this one with a win-loss record of 16-2 for the year. They turn it over 12.3 times per game and as a group they are committing 15.8 fouls every game. As a unit, Michigan State is snagging 42.2 rebounds per game and has 337 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 23rd in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Spartans are connecting on 35.3% on three-point attempts (136 of 385) and 73.1% from the free throw line. They average 79.1 pts per contest (130th in college hoops) while connecting on 46.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Spartans are forcing 11.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.4 personal fouls. They are 127th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 233 relinquished for the year. The Spartans defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 39.0% (397 of 1,017) and they concede 28.4 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 29.8% from beyond the arc while they are 10th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (64.2).

When they last played, the Oregon Ducks took a loss by a score of 81-71 when they faced Michigan. In reference to team rebounding, Oregon permitted Michigan to get 29 in all (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 39.1% from three-point range by shooting 9 out of 23 and finished the contest at 22 of 30 at the free throw line (73.3%). The Ducks permitted Michigan to knock down 25 out of their 51 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 49.0% in this game. When the game finished, the Ducks walked away from this one shooting 27 out of 64 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.2%. When discussing shooting from downtown, Oregon knocked down 6 out of their 18 tries (33.3%). They were able to convert 11 of them for a clip of 68.8%. Michigan committed 13 fouls for this game which got the Ducks to the free throw line for 16 attempts. They also gave up possession 11 times, while getting 9 steals for this game. The Ducks were able to collect 14 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 25 for this game.

Sean Stewart pitched in for the Ducks for the contest. He knocked down 10 of 14 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 71.4%, and accounted for 8 rebounds. He accumulated 22 points in his 30 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to notch an assist.

Oregon has a win-loss mark of 8-10 for the year. The Ducks are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls per game and they connect on 70.6% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 14.9 times per contest (136th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 12.7 times per game. Oregon has accumulated 1,353 points this season (75.2 per contest) and they average 37.6 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Ducks are hitting on 43.2% from the field, which is ranked 290th in D-1.

The Ducks on defense are ranked 216th in college in points allowed per game with 74.6. They have forced 11.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.4% from the field (167th in the nation). The Oregon defense concedes 33.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (145 of 434) and opponents are making 78.1% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.7 assists and 33.9 total boards per game, which ranks 121st and 145th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Michigan State

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