Michigan Wolverines vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils (24-2) will try to defeat the Michigan Wolverines (25-1) at Capital One Arena on Saturday.

The Michigan Wolverines faced off with Purdue and notched a win by a score of 91-80 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Wolverines ended up finishing with 17 while Purdue totaled 17 fouls. They also knocked down 8 of 26 tries from downtown. Purdue ended up shooting 90.0% at the charity stripe by burying 18 of their 20 shots. In addition, Purdue collected 28 rebounds (11 offensive, 17 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Purdue doled out 12 dimes and had 10 steals in this matchup. When discussing defending, Michigan allowed the other team to shoot 39.1% from the field on 27 of 69 shooting. They also distributed 24 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing 6 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In reference to rebounding, they compiled a total of 36 with 12 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Wolverines buried 18 of their 23 shots for a rate of 78.3%. Michigan finished with a 52.6% field goal percentage (30 of 57) and buried 13 of their 23 3-point shots.

Elliot Cadeau is one player who played a role in this game. He accounted for 17 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He played 34 minutes and also totaled 4 boards. He finished 50.0% from the field and recorded 7 assists.

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Michigan comes into this matchup with a mark of 25-1 so far this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.2 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.1 fouls per game. As a team, Michigan is snagging 41.5 rebounds per game and has totaled 508 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 5th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Wolverines are connecting on 36.1% on three-point attempts (244 of 675) and 73.4% from the free throw line. They average 90.6 pts per contest (4th in college) on 51.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Wolverines have forced 12.0 turnovers every game while drawing 20.6 personal fouls. They currently rank 6th in college in allowing assists with 269 conceded on the year. The Wolverines defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 37.1% (623 of 1,677) and they concede 31.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They concede 29.2% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 62nd in college hoops in PPG allowed (68.8).

When they last played, the Duke Blue Devils went home victorious with a score of 101-64 when they faced Syracuse. When talking about rebounds, Duke permitted Syracuse to grab 23 in total (10 on the offensive glass). They shot 37.0% from distance by going 10 out of 27 and walked away from this one shooting 2 out of 8 at the free throw line (25.0%). The Blue Devils permitted Syracuse to bury 26 of their 63 tries from the field which left them shooting 41.3% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Blue Devils shot 38 for 61 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 62.3%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Duke buried 12 out of their 20 attempts (60.0%). They were able to convert 13 of the free throws for a percentage of 65.0%. Syracuse committed 16 personal fouls for the contest which got the Blue Devils to the free throw line for 20 shots. They also coughed it up 4 times, while recording 10 steals for the game. The Blue Devils were able to pull down 28 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 38 for the contest.

Cameron Boozer ended up having an impact for the Blue Devils in the game. He accumulated 22 points in his 25 minutes on the court and tallied 2 assists in this game. He buried 8 of 10 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 80.0%, and accumulated 12 rebounds.

Duke has a win-loss mark of 24-2 for the season. The Blue Devils are responsible for committing 15.5 personal fouls every game and they hit 71.4% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 17.0 times per contest (39th in college hoops) and they turn it over 10.8 times per contest. Duke has 2,157 pts for the year (83.0 per contest) and they average 39.6 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Blue Devils are shooting 50.1% from the field, which ranks 17th in the nation.

The Blue Devils defensively are ranked 3rd in Division 1 in PPG surrendered with 63.2. They are able to force 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 39.2% from the floor (11th in college). The Duke defense gives up 31.0% on shots from 3-point land (211 of 681) and their opposition makes 70.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 11.8 assists and 29.7 boards on a nightly basis, which is 57th and 11th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michigan

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