Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY

TV: SEC Network

The Kentucky Wildcats (9-6) are welcoming the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-5) at Rupp Arena on Saturday.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs stepped onto the hardwood against Oklahoma and earned the victory with a final of 72-53 in their last contest. Mississippi State ended with a 42.4% FG percentage (25 out of 59) and converted 2 out of their 15 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Bulldogs buried 20 of their 28 tries for a percentage of 71.4%. In reference to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 42 with 15 of them being offensive. They also doled out 7 assists in the game while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. With regard to defense, Mississippi State allowed the other team to shoot 30.9% from the field on 17 of 55 shooting. Oklahoma earned 4 dimes and had 4 steals for this contest. In addition, Oklahoma snagged 30 boards (9 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Oklahoma finished shooting 64.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 16 of their 25 shots. They converted 3 out of their 20 shots from beyond the perimeter. In the matter of fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 18 while Oklahoma recorded 19 fouls.

Josh Hubbard is a player who played a role in this contest. He scored 30 points on 11 out of 22 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins and snagged 1 board. He went 50.0% from the field and also earned 3 assists.

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Mississippi State enters this one with a mark of 10-5 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 11.5 times per game and as a group they commit 16.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Mississippi State is collecting 41.4 boards per contest and has racked up 192 assists for the season, which is 299th in the country in terms of passing. The Bulldogs are connecting on 32.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (122 of 380) and 69.2% from the charity stripe. They average 80.8 points per contest (108th in the nation) while shooting 45.4% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bulldogs have forced 10.7 turnovers every game and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They give up 29.9% on 3-point attempts while they are 247th in D-1 in points per game allowed (75.8). The Bulldogs defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 41.1% (398 of 969) and they concede 38.2 boards per game as a team. They are 111th in college hoops in allowing assists with 190 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Kentucky Wildcats took a defeat with a final score of 73-68 when they faced Missouri. In reference to rebounding, Kentucky permitted Missouri to get 26 overall (2 offensive). They went 35.3% from three-point range by hitting 6 of 17 and finished the contest at 13 out of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). The Wildcats allowed Missouri to convert 27 out of 52 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.9% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Wildcats went 22 for 51 from the floor which had them shooting 43.1%. Pertaining to shooting from distance, Kentucky knocked down 7 of 18 attempts (38.9%). They were able to make 17 of those for a rate of 70.8%. Missouri committed 19 personal fouls for the contest which got the Wildcats to the free throw line for a total of 24 tries. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 7 steals in this contest. The Wildcats earned 21 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 27 for the contest.

Otega Oweh ended up having an impact for the Wildcats for the contest. He converted 6 of 11 for this game giving him a rate of 54.5%, and had 5 rebounds. He tallied 20 points in his 35 minutes on the court and earned 4 assists in the matchup.

Kentucky has a mark of 9-6 so far this season. The Wildcats commit 17.1 fouls per contest while shooting 74.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.5 times per contest (44th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.5 times per contest. Kentucky has accounted for 1,246 points so far this season (83.1 per game) and they grab 39.4 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Wildcats are shooting 47.8% from the field, which ranks them 74th in the nation.

The Kentucky defense allows 30.3% on three-point shots (113 of 373) and their opponents are converting on 74.3% of their free throw attempts. They give up 14.6 dimes and 32.9 rebounds per game, which ranks them 265th and 94th in the country. The Wildcats on the defensive side of the court are 93rd in college in points given up per game with 69.5. They are able to force 11.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.5% from the floor (58th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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