Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-13) are traveling to The Sandy and John Black Pavilion on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Ole Miss Rebels (11-13).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs played Tennessee and ended up losing by a score of 73-64 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 16 while Tennessee totaled 15 personal fouls. They made 4 of their 13 tries from three-point range. Tennessee finished the contest at 83.3% from the free throw line by making 15 of their 18 tries. Furthermore, Tennessee totaled 43 boards (12 offensive, 31 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Tennessee recorded 19 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. In reference to defending, Mississippi State allowed their opponent to shoot 43.5% from the floor on 27 out of 62 shooting. They also dished out 11 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs knocked down 7 of 13 attempts for a percentage of 53.8%. Mississippi State finished having earned a 41.0% field goal percentage (25 of 61) and knocked down 7 of their 22 3-pointers.

Josh Hubbard is one player who was a factor in this contest. He ended up going 54.2% from the field and recorded 2 dimes. He was on the court for 33 minutes and pulled down 3 rebounds. He recorded 31 points on 13 of 24 shooting.

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Mississippi State will enter this contest with a record of 11-13 on the season. They average 76.8 points per outing (162nd in Division 1) while hitting 44.2% from the field. The Bulldogs are hitting 30.7% on shots from downtown (181 of 590) and 68.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Mississippi State is snagging 39.8 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 296 dimes on the season, which is 310th in D-1 in terms of passing. They cough up possession 11.7 times per game and as a unit are committing 15.8 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Bulldogs are able to force 9.4 turnovers every game and they draw 17.1 fouls. They relinquish 30.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 296th in D-1 in points per game allowed (78.4). The Bulldogs defense is allowing a FG percentage of 43.1% (669 of 1,553) and they relinquish 38.1 boards per contest as a unit. They currently rank 186th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 333 relinquished on the campaign.

For their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels took a loss by a final score of 93-74 when they faced Alabama. When talking about rebounding, Ole Miss permitted Alabama to snag 34 overall (7 offensive). They went 37.8% from beyond the arc by shooting 17 of 45 and ended up shooting 24 of 26 at the free throw line (92.3%). The Rebels permitted Alabama to convert 26 of 66 tries from the floor which had them shooting 39.4% in the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Rebels finished the game shooting 29 out of 69 from the field which had them sitting at 42.0%. Pertaining to shots from distance, Ole Miss converted 8 of 22 tries (36.4%). They were able to convert 8 of the free throws for a rate of 61.5%. Alabama had 15 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Rebels to the free throw line for 13 tries. They turned it over 8 times, while getting 2 steals in the game. The Rebels corralled 28 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 35 for the matchup.

AJ Storr ended up being a factor for the Rebels for this game. He accumulated 27 points in his 25 mins on the court and had 3 dimes in the game. He knocked down 10 out of 17 for this game giving him a rate of 58.8%, and had 2 rebounds.

Ole Miss has a mark of 11-13 so far this year. The Rebels commit 19.7 personal fouls every game and they go 73.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 13.2 times per contest (242nd in college) and they are turning it over 9.7 times per game. Ole Miss has scored 1,773 pts for the year (73.9 per contest) and they pull in 34.9 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Rebels are hitting on 43.7% from the floor, which ranks 271st in Division 1.

The Rebels on the defensive side of the court are 164th in the nation in PPG allowed with 73.0. They are able to force 11.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (89th in college). The Ole Miss defense allows 33.1% on 3-point shots (196 of 592) and their opponents are connecting on 70.9% of their foul shots. They concede 13.8 assists and 36.6 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 214th and 302nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ole Miss

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