Missouri State Bears vs FIU Panthers Prediction, 3/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs FIU Panthers

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Propst Arena in Huntsville, AL

TV: ESPN+

Propst Arena is the location where the FIU Panthers (15-16) will try to defeat the Missouri State Bears (14-17) on Tuesday in the Conference USA Tournament.

The Missouri State Bears took the court against MTSU and took a loss by a final of 75-63 in their last contest. Missouri State finished the contest having earned a 41.8% field goal percentage (23 of 55) and made 5 out of their 23 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Bears buried 12 of their 17 attempts for a percentage of 70.6%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 29 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 16 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and having 2 steals. In terms of defense, Missouri State allowed the other team to go 46.4% from the field on 26 out of 56 shooting. MTSU earned 17 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. On top of that, MTSU pulled down 31 rebounds (3 offensive, 28 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. MTSU finished the contest at 87.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of their 16 tries. They converted 9 of their 21 tries from long range. With respect to fouls, the Bears walked away with 13 while MTSU accounted for 17 fouls.

Michael Osei-Bonsu is a player who was a major factor for the game. He finished shooting 64.3% from the floor and dished out 5 assists. He played 35 minutes played and also collected 11 rebounds. He recorded 20 points on 9 of 14 shooting.

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Missouri State heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 14-17 so far this season. They are averaging 75.3 points per contest (195th in Division 1) while connecting on 44.5% from the field. The Bears are hitting 32.4% on three-point attempts (234 of 722) and 68.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Missouri State is grabbing 35.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 447 assists on the season, which is 153rd in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 11.3 times per game and as a squad are committing 17.8 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Bears are able to force 11.6 turnovers per game and they draw 18.7 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 125th in college in allowing assists with 400 surrendered for the year. The Bears defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.3% (795 of 1,754) and they relinquish 33.7 boards per contest as a group. They relinquish 34.5% from 3-point land and they rank 187th in D-1 in points per game allowed (73.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the FIU Panthers walked away with a victory by a final of 92-67 when they played Western Kentucky. In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, FIU allowed Western Kentucky to snag 26 in total (7 offensive). They went 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by going 7 of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 18 of 29 at the free throw line (62.1%). The Panthers allowed Western Kentucky to convert 21 out of their 57 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 36.8% in this matchup. Overall, the Panthers walked away from this one shooting 37 out of 70 from the field which had them shooting 52.9%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, FIU made 8 out of 20 tries (40.0%). They were able to convert 10 of them for a rate of 71.4%. Western Kentucky committed 13 fouls in this matchup which took the Panthers to the charity stripe for 14 tries. They gave up possession 12 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Panthers were able to snag 30 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards totaling 43 in the matchup.

Corey Stephenson was important for the Panthers for this game. He made 7 out of 17 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 41.2%, and had 8 rebounds. He tallied 18 points in his 28 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in this contest.

FIU has a win-loss record of 15-16 this year. The Panthers are committing 18.0 fouls per game and they shoot 69.1% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 15.1 times per contest (108th in college) and they are turning it over 13.0 times per game. FIU has scored 2,508 pts on the year (80.9 per game) and they grab 37.9 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Panthers are connecting on 45.6% from the floor, which ranks them 162nd in the nation.

The Panthers are ranked 297th in college in points allowed per contest with 78.0. They are able to force 15.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (113th in Division 1). The FIU defense allows 35.5% on 3-pointers (299 of 843) and opponents are making 71.2% of their free throw shots. They give up 16.4 dimes and 36.9 boards every game, which is 344th and 321st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Missouri State

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