Missouri State Bears vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri State Bears vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA

TV: CBSSN

The Missouri State Bears (13-9) are headed to Liberty Arena on Saturday where they will meet the Liberty Flames (19-3).

The Missouri State Bears faced off with Jacksonville State and walked away with a win by a score of 74-67 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Bears walked away with 22 and Jacksonville State totaled 23 personal fouls. They also buried 2 of 14 shots from beyond the arc. Jacksonville State went 77.8% at the charity stripe by knocking down 21 of 27 tries. Moreover, Jacksonville State snagged 34 boards (12 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Jacksonville State distributed 7 assists and had 6 steals in the game. In terms of the defense, Missouri State allowed 40.7% from the field on 22 of 54 shooting. They also distributed 16 assists in this game as well as forcing 17 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 24 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Bears knocked down 12 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 57.1%. Missouri State ended having earned a 46.6% FG percentage (27 of 58) and knocked down 8 of 24 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Keith Palek III is one guy who was important for this game. He left the arena with 18 points on 6 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 38 minutes and also pulled down 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 42.9% from the floor and also distributed 6 dimes.

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Missouri State steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 13-9 on the campaign. They are turning it over 11.6 times per contest and as a team they are committing 17.6 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Missouri State is grabbing 35.1 boards per game and is sitting with 311 assists so far this year, which is 220th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Bears are hitting 31.6% on 3-pointers (163 of 516) and 67.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 75.3 pts per contest (207th in the nation) while going 45.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bears are forcing 12.1 turnovers per game while drawing 19.2 fouls. They are currently ranked 91st in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 280 surrendered on the season. The Bears defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 44.3% (555 of 1,254) and they concede 34.0 boards per contest as a squad. They give up 33.4% on 3-pointers and they rank 142nd in college hoops in points per game allowed (72.3).

For their last game, the Liberty Flames walked away with a victory by a final of 75-69 against Delaware. The Flames recorded 23 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive boards for a total of 25 for this game. They also turned the ball over 9 times, while recording 3 steals for the contest. Delaware was called for 18 personal fouls in this contest which got the Flames to the free throw line for 20 shots. They were able to convert 18 of the free throws for a rate of 90.0%. In reference to shooting from 3-point land, Liberty converted 11 of their 27 tries (40.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Flames shot 23 out of 45 from the floor which had them shooting 51.1%. The Flames allowed Delaware to convert 26 of 51 attempts from the field which had them shooting 51.0% for this contest. They wrapped up this game 37.5% from 3-point land by going 9 of 24 and walked away from this one shooting 8 out of 9 at the charity stripe (88.9%). With respect to how they rebounded, Liberty allowed Delaware to grab 23 in all (2 on the offensive glass).

Colin Porter was important for the Flames in this game. He scored 23 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and added 2 assists in this game. He knocked down 5 of 8 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Liberty has a win-loss mark of 19-3 for the year. The Flames commit 13.8 personal fouls per game and they hit 70.7% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 17.5 times per contest (29th in college) and they lose possession via turnover 8.5 times per game. Liberty has totaled 1,744 points this season (79.3 per game) and they average 30.1 boards per contest. As an offense, the Flames are shooting 52.5% from the floor, which ranks 2nd in D-1.

The Liberty defense allows 35.5% on 3-pointers (174 of 490) and opponents are converting on 71.1% of their free throw shots. They surrender 11.7 dimes and 32.7 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 59th and 78th in college hoops. The Flames on defense are ranked 36th in the country in points given up per game with 67.2. They are forcing their opponents into 11.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.2% from the floor (147th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Missouri State

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