Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, OK

TV: ESPNU

The Oklahoma Sooners (14-14) will go up against the Missouri Tigers (19-9) at Lloyd Noble Center on Tuesday.

The Missouri Tigers took the court against Mississippi State and walked away with a win by a score of 88-64 in their last game. Missouri ended the game having earned a 50.8% FG percentage (30 of 59) and knocked down 8 of 20 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Tigers knocked down 20 of their 24 shots for a percentage of 83.3%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 34 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 12 assists for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and having 9 steals. When it comes to defense, Missouri allowed the other team to shoot 49.1% from the floor on 26 out of 53 shooting. Mississippi State doled out 9 assists and had 9 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Mississippi State had 22 boards (6 offensive, 16 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Mississippi State finished 53.8% when shooting free throws by burying 7 of 13 attempts. They also converted 5 of 19 attempts from long range. Concerning fouls, the Tigers finished with 13 while Mississippi State had 14 fouls.

Mark Mitchell is one player who was a factor in this contest. He shot 54.5% from the field and also totaled 1 assist. He was on the court for 29 mins played and also grabbed 4 rebounds. He finished with 17 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

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Missouri heads into this matchup with a record of 19-9 so far this season. They turn the ball over 12.1 times per game and as a unit they commit 17.6 fouls every game. As a unit, Missouri is pulling down 35.9 boards per game and has accounted for 409 assists so far this season, which is 161st in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tigers are connecting on 35.0% on three-point shots (203 of 580) and 68.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 80.0 pts per game (91st in D-1) while shooting 49.2% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Tigers have forced 11.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.8 fouls. They are giving up 36.2% from beyond the arc and they are 219th in college in opponents points per game (75.0). The Tigers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.5% (700 of 1,648) and they surrender 32.4 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 112th in the nation in allowing assists with 364 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Oklahoma Sooners took home the win by a final score of 83-67 when they played LSU. In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Oklahoma permitted LSU to grab 32 overall (13 offensive). They finished shooting 26.1% from distance by connecting on 6 of 23 and ended up going 17 of 19 at the free throw line (89.5%). The Sooners permitted LSU to bury 22 out of 63 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 34.9% in this matchup. In all, the Sooners went 28 for 59 from the floor which had them shooting 47.5%. When talking about shooting from beyond the arc, Oklahoma converted 10 out of their 26 attempts (38.5%). They were able to bury 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 94.4%. LSU committed 14 personal fouls for the game which took the Sooners to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They also gave up possession 8 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. The Sooners corralled 24 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 33 in the game.

Nijel Pack ended up being a factor for the Sooners for the matchup. He accumulated 21 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 dimes in the matchup. He buried 8 of 14 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Oklahoma has a win-loss mark of 14-14 for the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Sooners are connecting on 46.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 113th in college hoops. Oklahoma has scored 2,314 points so far this season (82.6 per game) and they pull in 35.9 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 14.1 times per game (162nd in the country) and they cough up possession 10.1 times per contest. The Sooners commit 17.8 fouls per game while shooting 74.1% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma defense gives up 34.7% from downtown (228 of 657) and their opponents are connecting on 74.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 13.8 assists and 35.0 total rebounds per game, which is 216th and 226th in those categories on the defensive end. The Sooners on the defensive side of the court are 297th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 78.1. They have forced 10.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (251st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma

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