Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montana Grizzlies vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN+

Hornet Pavilion is the site where the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13) will compete against the Montana Grizzlies (12-9) on Saturday.

The Montana Grizzlies stepped onto the hardwood against Idaho State and walked away with a win by a score of 69-60 in their last contest. Montana finished with a 47.4% FG percentage (27 of 57) and converted 7 out of their 22 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Grizzlies knocked down 8 of 9 tries for a rate of 88.9%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 29 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 16 dimes in this game while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 6 steals. With respect to defending, Montana allowed their opponent to shoot 36.2% from the field on 21 out of 58 shooting. Idaho State earned 8 assists and had 5 steals for the game. On top of that, Idaho State pulled down 34 rebounds (10 offensive, 24 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Idaho State went 66.7% at the free throw line by burying 10 of their 15 shots. They also converted 8 out of their 25 attempts from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Grizzlies ended up with 16 and Idaho State recorded 12 personal fouls.

Money Williams is someone who was a factor for this contest. He finished the contest at 50.0% from the floor and earned 5 assists. He was on the court for 33 mins played and grabbed 6 rebounds. He was able to score 17 points on 7 of 14 shooting.

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Montana will play this contest with a mark of 12-9 this season. They are turning it over 13.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 17.5 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Montana is snagging 35.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 340 assists so far this season, which ranks 71st in college in terms of passing the ball. The Grizzlies are shooting 36.2% from downtown (176 of 486) and 78.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 79.9 pts per contest (115th in Division 1) while hitting 50.1% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Grizzlies have forced 10.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are 152nd in the country in allowing assists to their opponents with 271 relinquished for the year. The Grizzlies are allowing a field goal percentage of 42.3% (552 of 1,304) and they relinquish 33.2 boards per contest as a unit. They give up 31.3% on 3-pointers and they are 156th in the nation in PPG allowed (72.8).

When they last played, the Sacramento State Hornets took a loss by a final score of 75-67 against Eastern Washington. The Hornets recorded 18 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds totaling 22 for the game. They also gave up possession 10 times, while recording 4 steals for this contest. Eastern Washington was called for 20 fouls in this matchup which took the Hornets to the charity stripe for 28 attempts. They were able to make 24 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 85.7%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, Sacramento State knocked down 5 out of their 17 attempts (29.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Hornets ended up going 19 out of 44 from the floor which had them at 43.2%. The Hornets permitted Eastern Washington to bury 26 out of their 57 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 45.6% for the game. They wrapped up this game 33.3% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 out of 24 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 18 at the free throw line (83.3%). Concerning rebounds, Sacramento State permitted Eastern Washington to snag 30 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Mark Lavrenov pitched in for the Hornets in this matchup. He made 6 of 8 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and had 2 rebounds. He racked up 26 points in his 31 minutes of playing time and had 1 assist for this game.

Sacramento State has a mark of 6-13 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Hornets are shooting 40.8% from the floor, which is 341st in Division 1. Sacramento State has tallied 1,473 points for the year (77.5 per game) and they collect 36.5 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 13.0 times per contest (260th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.3 times per contest. The Hornets have committed 18.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 77.6% from the charity stripe.

The Sacramento State defense concedes 33.8% from downtown (167 of 494) and their opponents are converting on 74.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 17.3 dimes and 39.6 rebounds every game, which is ranked 355th and 356th in college hoops. The Hornets defensively are ranked 347th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 82.2. They are forcing 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (284th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Montana

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