Montana State Bobcats vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Prediction, 3/2/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montana State Bobcats vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Date: Monday, March 2, 2026

Location: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, AZ

TV: ESPN+

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (10-19) host the Montana State Bobcats (16-13) at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome on Monday.

The Montana State Bobcats faced off with Portland State and went home with a win by a final score of 84-69 in their last contest. Montana State wrapped up the game having earned a 51.8% FG percentage (29 of 56) and buried 15 of their 30 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Bobcats knocked down 11 of 15 shots for a rate of 73.3%. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 24 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 18 assists in this contest while creating 15 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In relation to defending, Montana State let their opponent shoot 44.8% from the field on 26 out of 58 shooting. Portland State recorded 9 dimes and had 6 steals in this matchup. In addition, Portland State had 29 rebounds (10 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Portland State walked away from this one shooting 57.1% at the free throw line by making 8 of 14 tries. They also converted 9 out of their 18 shots from distance. In reference to personal fouls, the Bobcats ended up finishing with 11 and Portland State totaled 16 personal fouls.

Jed Miller is a guy who had an impact for the game. He walked away with 25 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 38 mins and also totaled 9 boards. He walked away from this one shooting 46.7% from the field and also earned 6 assists.

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Montana State comes into this matchup with a record of 16-13 so far this season. They have an average of 78.0 points per contest (136th in the nation) while hitting 46.4% from the floor. The Bobcats are hitting 36.7% on three-point shots (281 of 766) and 75.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Montana State is pulling in 32.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 333 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 332nd in the country in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 10.1 times per game and as a group they commit 15.8 personal fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Bobcats are forcing their opponents into 11.7 turnovers per game and they draw 16.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 33.3% from beyond the arc and they rank 119th in college hoops in PPG allowed (71.8). The Bobcats defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.0% (762 of 1,694) and they concede 33.1 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 54th in college hoops in giving up assists with 333 surrendered for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks took a loss by a score of 78-58 when they played Idaho. The Lumberjacks collected 18 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 21 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 7 times, while earning 5 steals for the contest. Idaho committed 14 fouls for this game which took the Lumberjacks to the free throw line for a total of 15 tries. They were able to bury 11 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 73.3%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Northern Arizona made 7 of their 17 tries (41.2%). When the final whistle blew, the Lumberjacks went 20 out of 52 from the field which had them at 38.5%. The Lumberjacks permitted Idaho to make 30 out of their 57 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 52.6% for the matchup. They finished the game shooting 57.1% from three-point range by going 12 of 21 and ended up shooting 6 out of 11 from the free throw line (54.5%). Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Northern Arizona allowed Idaho to collect 35 in total (8 offensive).

Chris Komin was important for the Lumberjacks in this contest. He converted 4 out of 7 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 2 rebounds. He tallied 11 points in his 40 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 2 assists for this game.

Northern Arizona has a mark of 10-19 on the campaign. The Lumberjacks are committing 17.5 fouls per contest and they shoot 68.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.2 times per contest (242nd in college hoops) and they lose possession via turnover 10.4 times per contest. Northern Arizona has accumulated 2,095 pts this season (72.2 per contest) and they average 30.2 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Lumberjacks are hitting on 46.7% from the floor, which ranks them 99th in Division 1.

The Northern Arizona defense allows 37.8% from downtown (246 of 651) and their opponents are converting on 74.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 13.6 assists and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 201st and 221st in the country. The Lumberjacks on defense are ranked 244th in college in points given up per game with 76.1. They are forcing their opponents into 11.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.8% from the field (342nd in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Northern Arizona

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