Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Fairfield Stags Prediction, 3/1/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Fairfield Stags

Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026

Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT

TV: ESPN+

Leo D. Mahoney Arena is the location where the Fairfield Stags (19-11) will attempt to defeat the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (14-16) on Sunday.

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers stepped onto the hardwood against Sacred Heart and ended up losing by a score of 77-69 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Mountaineers walked away with 15 and Sacred Heart had 12 personal fouls. They knocked down 14 of 38 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Sacred Heart finished the game at 76.5% from the free throw line by making 13 of their 17 attempts. Furthermore, Sacred Heart grabbed 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Sacred Heart earned 15 dimes and had 6 steals for this game. Regarding defense, Mount St. Mary's allowed 40.3% from the floor on 25 out of 62 shooting. They also recorded 13 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 7 steals. When discussing pulling down boards, they collected 44 with 18 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Mountaineers knocked down 7 of 12 attempts for a percentage of 58.3%. Mount St. Mary's finished the contest having earned a 39.1% field goal percentage (27 of 69) and converted 8 out of their 34 3-point shots.

Luke McEldon is someone who was a major contributor for the game. He finished the contest at 69.2% from the floor and recorded 2 assists. He saw the court for 30 mins and also grabbed 11 boards. He racked up 19 points on 9 of 13 shooting.

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Mount St. Mary's will enter this matchup with a record of 14-16 this season. They currently have an average of 68.4 points per contest (335th in Division 1) on 43.9% from the floor. The Mountaineers are shooting 32.4% on shots from beyond the arc (233 of 719) and 67.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Mount St. Mary's is collecting 36.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 410 assists for the year, which is 155th in college in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 15.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.9 fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Mountaineers are able to force 10.9 turnovers every game while drawing 15.9 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 136th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 372 surrendered for the campaign. The Mountaineers defensively are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 40.2% (699 of 1,737) and they relinquish 33.2 rebounds per game as a group. They are giving up 32.9% on 3-point attempts and they are 102nd in college hoops in PPG allowed (71.1).

When they last played, the Fairfield Stags got the victory with a final of 72-58 when they played Siena. The Stags recorded 32 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 in the game. They also turned the ball over 17 times, while getting 7 steals for the matchup. Siena committed 16 fouls for this game which got the Stags to the free throw line for a total of 13 tries. They were able to bury 6 of the free throw tries for a rate of 46.2%. When discussing 3-point shots, Fairfield converted 4 of their 14 attempts (28.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Stags ended up shooting 31 for 60 from the field which had them sitting at 51.7%. The Stags permitted Siena to convert 22 out of 62 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 35.5% in this contest. They finished the game shooting 17.4% from three-point range by going 4 out of 23 and finished the contest at 10 of 12 from the free throw line (83.3%). When discussing rebounding, Fairfield allowed Siena to grab 22 in all (5 offensive).

Braden Sparks ended up having an impact for the Stags for the matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 17 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 52.9%, and had 5 rebounds. He totaled 19 points in his 37 minutes of playing time and had 2 assists in this contest.

Fairfield has a mark of 19-11 so far this year. The Stags are committing 15.5 personal fouls per contest and they hit 71.3% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 12.3 times per contest (297th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.2 times per contest. Fairfield has scored 2,275 points on the year (75.8 per contest) and they grab 38.6 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Stags are shooting 44.0% from the field, which ranks 258th in college hoops.

The Fairfield defense allows 33.8% on shots from beyond the arc (213 of 631) and their opponents are converting on 74.9% of their free throw attempts. They give up 13.4 assists and 34.2 rebounds every game, which is ranked 185th and 168th in the country. The Stags are ranked 136th in college hoops in points allowed per contest with 72.4. They are able to force 11.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.6% from the field (206th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fairfield

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