Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Nevada Wolf Pack (10-3) are on their way to Save Mart Center on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-7).

The Nevada Wolf Pack stepped onto the hardwood against Colorado State and walked away with a win by a score of 75-62 in their last contest. Nevada finished with a 42.3% field goal percentage (22 out of 52) and knocked down 8 of 22 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Wolf Pack buried 23 of their 31 shots for a percentage of 74.2%. In terms of pulling down boards, they collected 35 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 9 dimes for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When talking about defense, Nevada let their opponent shoot 37.3% from the field on 19 of 51 shooting. Colorado State doled out 10 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. In addition, Colorado State snagged 33 rebounds (11 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Colorado State finished the game shooting 62.1% from the free throw line by knocking down 18 of their 29 tries. They converted 6 out of their 24 attempts from beyond the arc. In regard to fouls, the Wolf Pack ended up finishing with 20 and Colorado State finished the game with 19 fouls.

Tyler Rolison is a player who was important for this contest. He ended up shooting 66.7% from the field and also distributed 2 dimes. He saw the court for 22 minutes and collected 5 rebounds. He accounted for 21 points on 6 out of 9 shooting.

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Nevada comes into this matchup with a record of 10-3 this season. They are averaging 77.5 points per contest (188th in college) while hitting 43.4% from the floor. The Wolf Pack are hitting 37.2% on 3-pointers (84 of 226) and 74.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, Nevada is pulling down 36.5 boards per game and has totaled 184 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 243rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 8.8 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.0 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Wolf Pack are forcing their opponents into 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They rank 174th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 180 conceded on the campaign. The Wolf Pack defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 43.1% (307 of 712) and they relinquish 34.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They give up 33.5% on 3-point attempts while they are 150th in D-1 in opponents points per game (71.5).

In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 72-63 when they faced Utah State. When discussing rebounding, Fresno State permitted Utah State to collect 40 overall (9 offensive). They finished 25.0% from distance by going 5 out of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 22 from the free throw line (68.2%). The Bulldogs allowed Utah State to convert 26 of their 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 47.3% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Bulldogs finished 20 for 58 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 34.5%. In regard to 3-point shots, Fresno State knocked down 5 of 22 tries (22.7%). They were able to convert 18 of them for a rate of 81.8%. Utah State had 23 fouls for the game which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for 22 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 18 times, while recording 12 steals in this contest. The Bulldogs corralled 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for the contest.

Jake Heidbreder ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs for this contest. He knocked down 7 out of 19 for the contest giving him a rate of 36.8%, and tallied 3 rebounds. He earned 21 points in his 38 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for this contest.

Fresno State has a mark of 6-7 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are shooting 45.4% from the field, which has them ranked 192nd in the nation. Fresno State has scored 976 points for the season (75.1 per contest) and they grab 35.4 rebounds per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.0 times per contest (215th in the country) and they are turning it over 14.1 times per contest. The Bulldogs are committing 16.8 fouls every game and they hit 72.4% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 169th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 72.5. They are able to force 15.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.8% from the floor (261st in D-1). The Fresno State defense gives up 28.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (92 of 324) and their opponents are knocking down 71.0% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.8 dimes and 34.1 boards per game, which has them ranked 143rd and 164th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fresno State

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