New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT

TV: ESPN+

The Utah State Aggies (24-6) will take on the New Mexico Lobos (22-8) at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum on Saturday.

The New Mexico Lobos stepped onto the hardwood against Colorado State and took a loss by a final of 82-74 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Lobos ended up with 21 and Colorado State totaled 17 personal fouls. They also made 11 out of their 25 attempts from 3-point land. Colorado State finished the game shooting 74.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 23 of 31 tries. Additionally, Colorado State pulled down 25 rebounds (2 offensive, 23 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Colorado State recorded 19 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. In relation to defense, New Mexico allowed the other team to go 58.5% from the field on 24 of 41 shooting. They also dished out 12 assists for the game while forcing the opposition into 20 turnovers and earning 16 steals. Concerning getting rebounds, they collected 28 with 10 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lobos buried 12 of their 20 attempts for a rate of 60.0%. New Mexico wrapped up the contest with a 45.9% FG percentage (28 out of 61) and knocked down 6 out of their 25 shots from downtown.

Deyton Albury is one guy who came through in the matchup. He left the arena with 22 points on 8 out of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 25 mins and also collected 2 rebounds. He ended up shooting 88.9% from the field and also dished out 3 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Parlay Picks

New Mexico heads into this one with a mark of 22-8 so far this year. They average 80.4 points per outing (79th in the nation) while going 45.9% from the floor. The Lobos are connecting on 35.9% on shots from beyond the arc (280 of 780) and 73.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, New Mexico is collecting 36.2 boards per game and has totaled 436 assists for the campaign, which ranks 148th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.5 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Lobos are able to force 13.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They are conceding 29.7% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 76th in Division 1 in PPG from their opponents (70.1). The Lobos defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.7% (718 of 1,722) and they concede 34.3 boards per game as a squad. They are ranked 114th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 382 relinquished on the campaign.

When they last played, the Utah State Aggies walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-65 when they faced UNLV. The Aggies were able to corral 18 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 27 for this game. They turned the ball over 9 times, while recording 6 steals for the matchup. UNLV was called for 17 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Aggies to the charity stripe for 20 tries. They were able to bury 14 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. In terms of 3-pointers, Utah State buried 5 of their 30 tries (16.7%). When all was said and done, the Aggies went 23 for 61 from the field which had them sitting at 37.7%. The Aggies permitted UNLV to bury 34 out of their 59 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 57.6% in this contest. They finished 40.0% from downtown by shooting 10 out of 25 and ended up shooting 14 of 17 from the free throw line (82.4%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Utah State permitted UNLV to get 35 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Mason Falslev ended up having an impact for the Aggies in this contest. He totaled 20 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists for this game. He buried 5 of 11 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 45.5%, and added 11 rebounds.

Utah State has a mark of 24-6 on the season. The Aggies are responsible for committing 18.8 personal fouls per contest and they hit 70.2% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 17.7 times per game (17th in D-1) and they are turning it over 10.7 times per contest. Utah State has 2,480 pts on the campaign (82.7 per game) and they average 34.6 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Aggies are connecting on 50.1% from the floor, which is ranked 14th in the country.

The Aggies are ranked 87th in D-1 in PPG given up with 70.5. They are forcing their opponents into 14.2 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.3% from the field (78th in college). The Utah State defense surrenders 33.5% on three-point shots (228 of 680) and their opponents are making 73.8% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 11.5 dimes and 32.4 boards per contest, which ranks 41st and 66th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Utah State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.