Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 1/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026

Location: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (6-11) are traveling to Hornet Pavilion on Thursday where they will go up against the Sacramento State Hornets (4-11).

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks stepped onto the hardwood against Idaho State and went home with a loss by a final score of 81-79 in their last contest. Northern Arizona walked away from the contest having earned a 51.9% FG percentage (27 of 52) and knocked down 5 of their 14 3-pointers. At the free throw line, the Lumberjacks made 20 of 26 shots for a rate of 76.9%. In relation to rebounding, they compiled a total of 21 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 14 assists for the game in addition to forcing 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In relation to the defense, Northern Arizona allowed the other team to shoot 55.8% from the field on 29 of 52 shooting. Idaho State earned 10 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Moreover, Idaho State grabbed 25 rebounds (10 offensive, 15 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Idaho State finished the contest at 81.0% at the charity stripe by burying 17 of 21 tries. They knocked down 6 of 17 attempts from beyond the perimeter. With respect to personal fouls, the Lumberjacks finished with 21 while Idaho State accumulated 20 personal fouls.

Karl Markus Poom is a player who had an impact for the contest. He finished shooting 66.7% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime. He played for 29 minutes and also pulled down 5 rebounds. He accounted for 22 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

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Northern Arizona steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 6-11 this year. They are turning it over 11.5 times per contest and as a group they are committing 17.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Northern Arizona is grabbing 33.1 boards per game and has earned 233 assists this season, which is 226th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Lumberjacks are hitting 36.8% on shots from downtown (123 of 334) and 65.6% from the free throw line. They average 73.7 pts per game (258th in D-1) while going 46.8% from the floor.

Defensively, the Lumberjacks are forcing their opponents into 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 16.8 fouls. They are ranked 215th in college in giving up assists with 231 surrendered so far this year. The Lumberjacks defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 45.5% (454 of 998) and they surrender 35.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They surrender 36.0% on 3-point attempts while they are 218th in the country in PPG allowed (74.7).

In their last game, the Sacramento State Hornets walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 96-69 when they faced Portland State. The Hornets pulled down 16 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 23 in the game. They also turned it over 5 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. Portland State was called for 20 personal fouls for the game which got the Hornets to the free throw line for a total of 28 attempts. They were able to bury 22 of those for a rate of 78.6%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Sacramento State made 3 out of 21 attempts (14.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Hornets went 22 out of 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 35.5%. The Hornets allowed Portland State to bury 35 out of 64 tries from the field which had them at 54.7% for the matchup. They finished shooting 40.0% from distance via 10 of 25 and finished the game at 16 out of 20 from the free throw line (80.0%). In relation to how they rebounded, Sacramento State allowed Portland State to collect 43 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Mikey Williams ended up being important for the Hornets in this game. He earned 29 points in his 30 mins of playing time and totaled 1 assist in the matchup. He made 9 of 20 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 45.0%, and totaled 3 rebounds.

Sacramento State has a win-loss record of 4-11 on the campaign. The Hornets have committed 19.5 fouls per game while shooting 75.6% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 12.5 times per game (296th in college hoops) and they turn it over 11.9 times per contest. Sacramento State has 1,154 points so far this year (76.9 per contest) and they grab 37.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Hornets are connecting on 40.4% from the floor, which ranks 347th in college.

The Hornets defensively are ranked 346th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 82.8. They are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (271st in college). The Sacramento State defense gives up 33.5% on 3-point attempts (130 of 388) and opponents are making 72.4% of their free throw attempts. They give up 17.4 assists and 40.8 rebounds per contest, which ranks 354th and 358th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento State

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