Northwestern State Demons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/5/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Northwestern State Demons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

Humphrey Coliseum is the site where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-19 last year) will try to defeat the Northwestern State Demons (10-22 last season) on Thursday.

The Northwestern State Demons stepped onto the hardwood against Baylor and took a loss by a final of 87-65 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Demons ended up finishing with 25 while Baylor finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They also buried 9 out of their 29 attempts from 3-point range. Baylor went 55.2% from the charity stripe by converting 16 of their 29 tries. Moreover, Baylor pulled down 42 boards (14 offensive, 28 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Baylor doled out 17 assists and had 9 steals in the game. In terms of defending, Northwestern State allowed their opponent to shoot 47.7% from the field on 31 out of 65 shooting. They also recorded 10 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When it comes to pulling down boards, they collected 32 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Demons made 16 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. Northwestern State wrapped up the contest having earned a 37.3% field goal percentage (22 of 59) and knocked down 5 of their 23 shots from beyond the arc.

Nathan Ojukwu is one player who came through in the game. He finished the contest at 50.0% from the floor and also earned 2 assists. He was on the court for 25 mins and also totaled 3 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 13 points on 4 out of 8 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Northwestern State heads into this game after finishing with a record of 10-22 last year. They turned it over 11.7 times per contest and as a group committed 16.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a squad, Northwestern State pulled down 31.4 rebounds per game and earned 382 assists last season, which ranked 317th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Demons shot 33.2% on shots from downtown (191 of 575) and 74.2% from the free throw line. They averaged 68.3 points per outing (331st in Division 1) while hitting 43.7% from the floor.

Defensively, the Demons were able to force 11.3 turnovers per game and they drew 18.7 personal fouls. They conceded 35.5% on 3-point attempts while they were 134th in the nation in points per game allowed (72.4). The Demons defense allowed a shooting percentage of 45.9% (818 of 1,782) and they relinquished 34.3 boards per contest as a squad. They were ranked 137th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 425 conceded over the course of last season.

In their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 106-88 against Tennessee Tech. In regard to rebounds, Mississippi State permitted Tennessee Tech to collect 23 overall (9 offensive). They shot 28.1% from 3-point land by shooting 9 out of 32 and finished the game at 15 out of 20 at the charity stripe (75.0%). The Bulldogs permitted Tennessee Tech to make 32 of 66 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.5% in this matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Bulldogs ended up going 35 for 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 58.3%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Mississippi State buried 12 of 24 attempts (50.0%). They were able to make 24 of those for a clip of 75.0%. Tennessee Tech was called for 20 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 32 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 7 steals in the game. The Bulldogs were able to pull down 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the contest.

Josh Hubbard was important for the Bulldogs in the matchup. He tallied 25 points in his 31 mins on the court and had 9 dimes for this contest. He knocked down 7 of 11 in this game for a field goal percentage of 63.6%, but wasn't able to snag a rebound.

Mississippi State had a mark of 13-19 last year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bulldogs connected on 45.0% from the floor, which had them ranked 194th in college. Mississippi State accumulated 2,484 pts last season (77.6 per game) and they collected 38.2 boards per contest. They earned an assist 12.8 times per game (265th in the nation) and they gave up possession 11.6 times per game. The Bulldogs committed 16.1 personal fouls every game and they went 66.0% from the free throw line.

The Mississippi State defense gave up 33.9% from downtown (278 of 819) and their opponents converted on 75.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They gave up 11.6 assists and 38.6 boards every game, which ranked them 111th and 351st in college. The Bulldogs defensively were ranked 346th in college in PPG allowed with 81.8. They forced 9.3 TO's per game and let teams shoot 44.2% from the floor (180th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Northwestern State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.