Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (9-5) will compete against the Oklahoma Sooners (11-3) at Humphrey Coliseum on Wednesday.

The Oklahoma Sooners played Ole Miss and notched a win by a score of 86-70 in their last contest. When it comes to fouls, the Sooners finished with 16 and Ole Miss recorded 18 fouls. They converted 10 out of their 26 tries from beyond the arc. Ole Miss finished the game shooting 70.0% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 20 attempts. Moreover, Ole Miss grabbed 27 rebounds (8 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Ole Miss recorded 9 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. With regard to defense, Oklahoma allowed their opponent to shoot 37.7% from the floor on 23 out of 61 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists in this contest in addition to forcing 7 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Sooners converted 13 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 68.4%. Oklahoma walked away from the contest with a 50.8% field goal percentage (31 of 61) and knocked down 11 out of their 28 3-point attempts.

Xzayvier Brown is one player who played a role in this game. He finished with 23 points on 8 out of 11 shooting. He played for 25 mins and also grabbed 1 rebound. He finished the contest at 72.7% from the floor and earned 2 assists.

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Oklahoma heads into this contest with a record of 11-3 on the year. They are averaging 87.3 points per outing (34th in the nation) while hitting 48.7% from the field. The Sooners are shooting 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (147 of 413) and 72.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Oklahoma is pulling in 39.2 rebounds per game and has totaled 234 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 111th in the nation in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 9.2 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.1 fouls per game.

On defense, the Sooners are able to force 11.4 turnovers every game and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They give up 36.1% on three-point shots and they are ranked 154th in college in opponents PPG (72.2). The Sooners defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.7% (353 of 847) and they concede 33.2 rebounds per game as a squad. They are ranked 108th in college hoops in allowing assists with 183 surrendered this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took home the win by a final score of 101-98 against Texas. The Bulldogs corralled 24 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards for a total of 41 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while getting 4 steals in this contest. Texas was called for 24 fouls for the game which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 31 tries. They were able to convert 23 of those for a percentage of 74.2%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Mississippi State converted 10 out of their 33 attempts (30.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Bulldogs went 34 for 76 from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.7%. The Bulldogs permitted Texas to make 31 of 65 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.7% for this game. They shot 28.0% from downtown by going 7 of 25 and ended up shooting 29 of 40 at the free throw line (72.5%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Mississippi State allowed Texas to pull down 35 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Josh Hubbard ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs in this game. He had 38 points in his 40 minutes of playing time and had 3 dimes for this contest. He knocked down 10 out of 31 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 32.3%, and earned 3 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a win-loss record of 9-5 this year. The Bulldogs are responsible for committing 16.1 personal fouls every game and they hit 69.0% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 13.2 times per contest (263rd in the country) and they turn the ball over 11.6 times per game. Mississippi State has earned 1,140 points on the year (81.4 per contest) and they grab 41.1 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.6% from the floor, which is 180th in the nation.

The Mississippi State defense allows 30.8% on shots from distance (112 of 364) and their opposition knocks down 73.4% of their free throw shots. They give up 13.3 dimes and 38.4 boards every game, which ranks them 188th and 328th in D-1. The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 280th in college in points allowed per contest with 77.4. They have forced 10.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the field (90th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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