Old Dominion Monarchs vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (12-11) are hosting the Old Dominion Monarchs (7-15) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Saturday.

The Old Dominion Monarchs stepped onto the hardwood against Arkansas State and went home with a win by a final score of 75-71 in their last contest. Old Dominion finished the game having earned a 45.2% FG percentage (28 out of 62) and buried 8 of their 23 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Monarchs knocked down 11 of 14 attempts for a rate of 78.6%. When discussing grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 30 with 3 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 19 assists for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In relation to defense, Old Dominion allowed their opponent to shoot 41.7% from the field on 25 out of 60 shooting. Arkansas State recorded 16 dimes and had 9 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Arkansas State grabbed 41 boards (11 offensive, 30 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Arkansas State went 64.7% from the charity stripe by converting 11 of their 17 shots. They also converted 10 out of their 30 shots from beyond the arc. In reference to personal fouls, the Monarchs finished with 17 and Arkansas State recorded 14 personal fouls.

Jordan Battle is one guy who was a factor for the contest. He finished shooting 62.5% from the field and totaled 6 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins played and also collected 2 rebounds. He ended up with 20 points on 5 of 8 shooting.

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Old Dominion enters this matchup with a mark of 7-15 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.0 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Old Dominion is pulling in 35.6 boards per game and has totaled 279 assists on the season, which has them ranked 236th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Monarchs are shooting 33.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (171 of 504) and 71.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 74.2 points per outing (241st in the country) while connecting on 43.2% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Monarchs are able to force 10.4 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.6 personal fouls. They are 262nd in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 302 conceded for the campaign. The Monarchs are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.9% (575 of 1,309) and they concede 38.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They relinquish 31.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 278th in D-1 in opponents PPG (77.3).

The last time they took the court, the Texas State Bobcats got the win with a final of 72-68 against Marshall. The Bobcats collected 27 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 37 in this game. They turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 6 steals in this matchup. Marshall committed 17 fouls in the game which took the Bobcats to the charity stripe for a total of 19 tries. They were able to convert 13 of them for a rate of 68.4%. In regard to three-point shots, Texas State made 7 out of their 15 tries (46.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Bobcats went 26 out of 58 from the floor which had them shooting 44.8%. The Bobcats permitted Marshall to convert 28 out of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.2% for this game. They finished 22.7% from distance by shooting 5 out of 22 and ended up shooting 7 out of 12 at the free throw line (58.3%). In reference to team rebounding, Texas State allowed Marshall to get 28 in total (6 on the offensive side).

Mark Drone ended up being a factor for the Bobcats in this contest. He converted 6 of 12 in this contest giving him a rate of 50.0%, and tallied 4 rebounds. He recorded 17 points in his 34 minutes on the court and accounted for 3 assists for the game.

Texas State has a mark of 12-11 for the season. The Bobcats are committing 18.1 fouls per game and they go 74.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 12.8 times per game (275th in the country) and they turn it over 13.3 times per game. Texas State has 1,680 pts so far this year (73.0 per contest) and they collect 36.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Bobcats are hitting on 45.7% from the field, which is ranked 154th in the nation.

The Texas State defense surrenders 34.7% on 3-point attempts (165 of 476) and opponents are knocking down 69.7% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 11.2 assists and 31.6 boards per game, which is ranked 33rd and 43rd in the nation. The Bobcats on the defensive end are ranked 121st in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 71.4. They have forced 13.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 44.4% from the floor (219th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas State

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