Ole Miss Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 3/13/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Friday, March 13, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Ole Miss (+11)

The Alabama Crimson Tide (23-8) will compete against the Ole Miss Rebels (13-19) at Spectrum Center on Friday in the SEC Quarterfinals. Alabama opens this matchup as 11-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 163.5.

The Ole Miss Rebels stepped onto the hardwood against Texas and walked away with a win by a score of 76-66 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Rebels walked away with 17 and Texas totaled 14 fouls. They made 7 of 20 attempts from downtown. Texas ended up going 84.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 21 of 25 attempts. Additionally, Texas pulled down 35 boards (8 offensive, 27 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Texas distributed 12 dimes and had 1 steal in this game. With respect to the defense, Ole Miss allowed 35.2% from the floor on 19 of 54 shooting. They also doled out 9 assists for the game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and earning 12 steals. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 31 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Rebels made 15 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. Ole Miss ended having earned a 46.9% FG percentage (30 out of 64) and made 1 out of their 10 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Malik Dia is a guy who came through in this matchup. He accumulated 23 points on 9 out of 18 shooting. He was on the court for 27 minutes played and also collected 4 rebounds. He finished shooting 50.0% from the field but had no assists when the game ended.

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Ole Miss enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 13-19 on the season. They currently have an average of 75.3 points per game (190th in D-1) while going 44.3% from the field. The Rebels are connecting on 32.7% on shots from 3-point land (223 of 683) and 75.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Ole Miss is pulling in 34.1 rebounds per contest and has racked up 440 assists on the campaign, which ranks 189th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 9.6 times per game and as a team are committing 19.2 fouls every game.

On defense, the Rebels have forced 11.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.7 fouls. They give up 34.1% from 3-point land and they rank 232nd in the country in points per game allowed (75.6). The Rebels defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.6% (803 of 1,841) and they concede 36.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 283rd in Division 1 in allowing assists with 469 conceded so far this season.

In their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide went home victorious with a score of 96-84 against Auburn. Concerning rebounds, Alabama permitted Auburn to pull down 25 overall (7 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 34.8% from downtown by going 8 out of 23 and ended up shooting 16 out of 19 at the free throw line (84.2%). The Crimson Tide allowed Auburn to knock down 30 of 59 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.8% in the game. When all was said and done, the Crimson Tide finished 36 for 69 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 52.2%. When discussing 3-pointers, Alabama knocked down 7 out of their 27 tries (25.9%). They were able to make 17 of the free throws for a rate of 65.4%. Auburn had 18 fouls for this game which got the Crimson Tide to the charity stripe for 26 attempts. They turned it over 7 times, while recording 6 steals for the matchup. The Crimson Tide pulled down 20 defensive boards and 18 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 in the matchup.

Aden Holloway was important for the Crimson Tide in this matchup. He made 6 of 14 for the matchup for a rate of 42.9%, and had 3 rebounds. He scored 21 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the matchup.

Alabama has a win-loss record of 23-8 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Crimson Tide are shooting 45.9% from the field, which is ranked 146th in the country. Alabama has scored 2,856 points for the year (92.1 per game) and they collect 40.8 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 16.2 times per game (54th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 9.9 times per game. The Crimson Tide commit 18.6 personal fouls every game and they shoot 76.7% from the free throw line.

The Alabama defense surrenders 33.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (251 of 754) and their opponents are knocking down 69.8% of their free throw shots. They allow 13.9 dimes and 39.9 total boards per game, which ranks 227th and 361st in Division 1. The Crimson Tide on the defensive end are ranked 356th in college in points per game surrendered with 83.6. They are able to force 9.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (114th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ole Miss (+11)

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