Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/17/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-7) will play the Ole Miss Rebels (10-7) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The Ole Miss Rebels stepped onto the hardwood against Georgia and took home the win by a score of 97-95 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Rebels ended up with 24 and Georgia accounted for 17 personal fouls. They made 15 of their 35 attempts from three-point range. Georgia finished the game at 76.5% at the charity stripe by knocking down 26 of their 34 shots. On top of that, Georgia collected 37 rebounds (16 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Georgia recorded 16 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. Concerning defense, Ole Miss let their opponent shoot 37.5% from the floor on 27 out of 72 shooting. They also distributed 15 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 8 steals. With respect to rebounding, they collected 35 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Rebels made 14 of 19 shots for a percentage of 73.7%. Ole Miss finished having earned a 51.4% FG percentage (36 of 70) and made 11 of 24 three-point shots.

AJ Storr is someone who played a role in this game. He recorded 26 points on 8 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 33 mins and also pulled down 5 rebounds. He finished shooting 50.0% from the floor and also earned 1 assist.

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Ole Miss will enter this contest with a mark of 10-7 on the season. They average 76.5 points per contest (194th in college) while connecting on 45.5% from the field. The Rebels are shooting 35.4% on shots from downtown (134 of 378) and 74.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Ole Miss is grabbing 35.5 boards per contest and has accumulated 248 assists so far this year, which is 184th in the country in terms of passing. They are turning it over 10.4 times per game and as a team they commit 18.9 personal fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Rebels are forcing 12.4 turnovers every game and they draw 18.2 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 112th in college in points per game allowed (71.1). The Rebels defense is giving up a FG percentage of 42.4% (410 of 966) and they relinquish 34.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They currently rank 210th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 236 relinquished so far this season.

In their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 97-82 when they played Alabama. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Mississippi State allowed Alabama to get 45 overall (9 on the offensive glass). They went 35.3% from distance via 12 out of 34 and finished the game at 27 out of 33 at the free throw line (81.8%). The Bulldogs permitted Alabama to knock down 29 of their 66 attempts from the field which had them shooting 43.9% in the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Bulldogs ended up shooting 28 for 76 from the field which had them at 36.8%. In the matter of shots from distance, Mississippi State buried 9 out of their 28 tries (32.1%). They were able to knock down 17 of them for a rate of 68.0%. Alabama was called for 19 fouls for this contest which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They coughed it up 4 times, while getting 5 steals for the game. The Bulldogs pulled down 25 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 for this contest.

Josh Hubbard was important for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He totaled 23 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 3 dimes in this contest. He converted 6 out of 16 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 37.5%, and had 3 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a mark of 10-7 this season. The Bulldogs are responsible for committing 16.2 fouls every game and they go 69.5% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 12.8 times per game (283rd in the nation) and they turn the ball over 11.2 times per contest. Mississippi State has totaled 1,362 pts on the season (80.1 per game) and they snag 40.7 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.0% from the floor, which is ranked 209th in D-1.

The Bulldogs are ranked 297th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 78.0. They are forcing 10.2 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 42.1% from the floor (107th in college). The Mississippi State defense allows 30.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (136 of 440) and their opponents are knocking down 73.2% of their free throw shots. They surrender 13.2 assists and 38.6 boards every game, which ranks 178th and 342nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ole Miss

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