Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oregon Ducks vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN

TV: ESPN+

Mackey Arena is the location where the Purdue Boilermakers (18-4) will try to defeat the Oregon Ducks (8-14) on Saturday.

The Oregon Ducks played Iowa and ended up losing by a score of 84-66 in their last game. With respect to personal fouls, the Ducks finished with 11 while Iowa recorded 15 personal fouls. They converted 10 of 22 shots from distance. Iowa ended up going 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 8 of 10 tries. On top of that, Iowa had 38 boards (11 offensive, 27 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Iowa dished out 18 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. In reference to the defense, Oregon allowed their opponent to shoot 58.9% from the field on 33 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 11 dimes for the matchup in addition to creating 4 turnovers and earning 2 steals. Regarding grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 33 with 11 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Ducks converted 14 of 16 shots for a percentage of 87.5%. Oregon walked away from the contest with a 41.1% FG percentage (23 out of 56) and converted 6 of their 25 shots from beyond the perimeter.

TK Simpkins is one guy who was important in the matchup. He recorded 16 points on 5 of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 31 mins and also snagged 4 rebounds. He finished the game at 45.5% from the floor and also distributed 4 assists.

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Oregon enters this one with a win-loss record of 8-14 on the year. They cough up possession 12.2 times per game and as a team are committing 15.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Oregon is grabbing 35.9 boards per game and is sitting with 303 assists this season, which ranks 240th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Ducks are connecting on 32.4% from downtown (182 of 561) and 71.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 72.0 pts per contest (283rd in Division 1) while hitting 42.3% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Ducks are forcing their opponents into 10.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.5 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.8% on 3-point shots while they are 208th in the nation in points per game allowed (74.5). The Ducks are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.3% (571 of 1,288) and they relinquish 34.2 boards per contest as a squad. They currently rank 113th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 287 surrendered on the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Purdue Boilermakers went home victorious with a score of 93-63 against Maryland. In regard to rebounds, Purdue allowed Maryland to pull down 26 in all (5 on the offensive side). They went 35.3% from three-point range by going 6 of 17 and ended up shooting 19 out of 25 at the charity stripe (76.0%). The Boilermakers allowed Maryland to knock down 19 out of 49 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.8% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Boilermakers ended up going 29 out of 55 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.7%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, Purdue converted 15 of 30 tries (50.0%). They were able to knock down 20 of the free throws for a clip of 80.0%. Maryland was called for 19 fouls in this contest which got the Boilermakers to the charity stripe for a total of 25 attempts. They coughed up the ball 8 times, while recording 3 steals for the game. The Boilermakers corralled 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this game.

Braden Smith was important for the Boilermakers in this contest. He buried 6 out of 9 in the game giving him a rate of 66.7%, and totaled 2 rebounds. He tallied 19 points in his 27 mins on the hardwood and had 6 assists for the contest.

Purdue has a mark of 18-4 for the year. The Boilermakers commit 14.3 fouls every game and they shoot 74.5% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 20.0 times per contest (3rd in the nation) and they turn it over 9.2 times per game. Purdue has 1,840 points for the season (83.6 per game) and they pull down 36.3 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Boilermakers are connecting on 51.2% from the floor, which is ranked 9th in college.

The Boilermakers on defense are ranked 66th in D-1 in points given up per game with 69.0. They have forced 10.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.8% from the field (120th in D-1). The Purdue defense gives up 32.7% on three-point shots (193 of 591) and opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their foul shots. They have allowed 13.6 dimes and 29.0 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 203rd and 3rd in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oregon

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