Purdue Boilermakers vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, 3/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Arizona Wildcats

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: SAP Center in San Jose, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-6)

The Purdue Boilermakers (30-8) are hitting the road to SAP Center on Saturday where they will take on the Arizona Wildcats (35-2) in the Elite 8. Purdue opens this contest as 6-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 151.

The Purdue Boilermakers faced off with Texas and took home the win by a score of 79-77 in their last contest. In regard to fouls, the Boilermakers finished with 14 while Texas accumulated 18 fouls. They knocked down 11 of their 25 tries from 3-point land. Texas finished the contest at 53.3% when shooting free throws by making 8 of 15 attempts. Furthermore, Texas pulled down 28 rebounds (11 offensive, 17 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Texas dished out 10 dimes and had 2 steals for this contest. When talking about defending, Purdue allowed the other team to shoot 51.8% from the floor on 29 of 56 shooting. They also dished out 12 dimes for this contest in addition to creating 7 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In terms of rebounding, they earned 31 with 11 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Boilermakers converted 15 of 20 tries for a rate of 75.0%. Purdue walked away from the game with a 48.4% FG percentage (30 of 62) and buried 4 out of their 20 shots from distance.

Trey Kaufman-Renn is one player who was a factor in the matchup. He ended up with 20 points on 8 of 10 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 36 mins played and also collected 8 rebounds. He finished the contest at 80.0% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Purdue will play this contest with a mark of 30-8 for the campaign. They cough up possession 8.9 times per game and as a team they commit 14.5 fouls per game. As a team, Purdue is grabbing 35.2 rebounds per game and has tallied 750 assists for the season, which is 1st in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Boilermakers are connecting on 38.4% on three-point shots (351 of 915) and 74.9% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.1 points per outing (50th in college hoops) while going 50.3% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Boilermakers are forcing 10.1 turnovers per game and they draw 16.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 354th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 558 conceded for the year. The Boilermakers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.8% (975 of 2,175) and they surrender 28.4 boards per game as a unit. They give up 34.1% on 3-point shots and they are 77th in college hoops in points per game allowed (70.3).

In their last game, the Arizona Wildcats went home victorious with a score of 109-88 when they played Arkansas. The Wildcats were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 3 steals for this game. Arkansas was called for 25 fouls in the matchup which got the Wildcats to the free throw line for 39 tries. They were able to knock down 30 of those for a rate of 76.9%. In regard to 3-pointers, Arizona made 5 out of 8 tries (62.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Wildcats finished 37 out of 58 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 63.8%. The Wildcats allowed Arkansas to knock down 31 out of 65 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.7% in the matchup. They finished 21.7% from 3-point land by shooting 5 of 23 and finished the game at 21 out of 26 from the charity stripe (80.8%). In reference to rebounding, Arizona permitted Arkansas to grab 26 in total (7 offensive).

Brayden Burries pitched in for the Wildcats in this contest. He recorded 23 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and earned 2 dimes in this game. He converted 7 of 11 for this game giving him a rate of 63.6%, and had 5 rebounds.

Arizona has a win-loss record of 35-2 so far this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Wildcats are shooting 50.4% from the field, which ranks 9th in the nation. Arizona has earned 3,208 pts for the year (86.7 per contest) and they collect 42.8 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 16.7 times per game (37th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per contest. The Wildcats have committed 15.8 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 73.1% from the charity stripe.

The Arizona defense allows 30.9% on shots from 3-point land (270 of 874) and their opposition makes 71.7% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.2 assists and 31.4 total boards per game, which is ranked 79th and 31st in those categories. The Wildcats on defense are ranked 54th in college hoops in points given up per game with 68.9. They are forcing their opponents into 11.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.2% from the floor (9th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (-6)

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