Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 3/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan (-7)

The Purdue Boilermakers (25-8) are headed to United Center on Sunday where they will meet the Michigan Wolverines (30-2) in the Big Ten Tournament Final. Purdue opens as 7-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 152.5.

The Purdue Boilermakers took the court against Nebraska and took home the win by a score of 74-58 in their last game. Purdue walked away from the game having earned a 44.8% field goal percentage (26 out of 58) and made 10 of 31 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Boilermakers knocked down 12 of 14 tries for a percentage of 85.7%. In terms of pulling down boards, they earned a total of 32 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 20 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When it comes to defending, Purdue let their opponent shoot 39.3% from the field on 22 out of 56 shooting. Nebraska totaled 15 dimes and had 4 steals in this matchup. In addition, Nebraska snagged 25 rebounds (9 offensive, 16 defensive), but didn't have a block. Nebraska ended up going 44.4% from the free throw line by making 4 of 9 tries. They also converted 10 out of their 31 attempts from three-point range. When discussing personal fouls, the Boilermakers ended up with 12 and Nebraska accumulated 12 personal fouls.

Fletcher Loyer is a player who was a factor in this contest. He finished 50.0% from the field and recorded 1 assist. He saw the court for 32 mins and also snagged 4 rebounds. He scored 19 points on 5 of 10 shooting.

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Purdue heads into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 25-8 this year. They turn it over 9.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 14.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Purdue is collecting 35.6 boards per game and has accumulated 655 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 1st in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Boilermakers are connecting on 38.2% on three-point attempts (311 of 815) and 74.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 82.0 points per game (53rd in college hoops) while going 49.9% from the floor.

Defensively, the Boilermakers have forced 10.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.0 fouls. They are ranked 287th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 478 surrendered on the season. The Boilermakers are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.5% (833 of 1,870) and they surrender 28.4 boards per game as a group. They give up 34.3% from 3-point land while they are 78th in college in PPG allowed (70.2).

The last time they took the court, the Michigan Wolverines went home victorious with a score of 71-67 when they faced Ohio State. In relation to rebounding, Michigan permitted Ohio State to collect 30 in total (9 on the offensive glass). They finished 33.3% from distance by going 8 out of 24 and finished the contest at 15 of 18 from the free throw line (83.3%). The Wolverines allowed Ohio State to knock down 22 out of their 58 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.9% in the game. Overall, the Wolverines shot 24 for 53 from the floor which had them shooting 45.3%. In reference to shooting from beyond the arc, Michigan made 5 of their 17 attempts (29.4%). They were able to knock down 18 of them for a percentage of 75.0%. Ohio State was called for 17 fouls in this contest which took the Wolverines to the charity stripe for a total of 24 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 7 steals in the game. The Wolverines snagged 25 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 31 in the game.

Aday Mara ended up having an impact for the Wolverines in the matchup. He had 17 points in his 28 mins on the court and tallied 1 assist for the contest. He made 7 out of 11 for the matchup giving him a rate of 63.6%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

Michigan has a win-loss record of 30-2 on the year. As an offensive unit, the Wolverines are hitting on 50.9% from the floor, which is 8th in college. Michigan has scored 2,812 points on the year (87.9 per contest) and they collect 40.2 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 18.8 times per game (4th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.1 times per game. The Wolverines are responsible for committing 15.8 fouls per game while shooting 74.5% from the charity stripe.

The Wolverines on defense are ranked 56th in D-1 in points given up per game with 69.0. They are forcing 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.0% from the floor (2nd in the country). The Michigan defense gives up 29.7% on three-point shots (252 of 849) and their opposition knocks down 75.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 11.0 dimes and 31.3 boards every game, which has them ranked 26th and 31st in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michigan (-7)

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