Sacramento State Hornets vs Idaho Vandals Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Idaho Vandals

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID

TV: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets (10-20) are headed to Idaho Central Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Idaho Vandals (17-14) in the Big Sky Championship.

The Sacramento State Hornets faced off with Idaho State and notched a win by a score of 83-65 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Hornets walked away with 19 and Idaho State accounted for 17 personal fouls. They also converted 6 of 29 shots from distance. Idaho State ended up shooting 71.4% at the charity stripe by converting 15 of 21 tries. In addition, Idaho State collected 28 rebounds (9 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Idaho State distributed 14 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. With respect to defense, Sacramento State allowed their opponent to shoot 37.9% from the field on 22 out of 58 shooting. They also recorded 21 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and having 7 steals. In regard to rebounding, they compiled 33 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Hornets made 18 of 23 shots for a rate of 78.3%. Sacramento State ended with a 53.7% field goal percentage (29 out of 54) and converted 7 of 18 shots from beyond the arc.

Prophet Johnson is one guy who was a major factor in the game. He finished 42.9% from the field and distributed 4 assists. He was on the hardwood for 40 minutes played and totaled 10 rebounds. He accumulated 20 points on 6 of 14 shooting.

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Sacramento State enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 10-20 on the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 10.5 times per contest and as a squad are committing 18.5 fouls per contest. As a team, Sacramento State is pulling in 34.3 rebounds per game and has earned 395 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 254th in college in terms of passing. The Hornets are connecting on 33.7% on 3-pointers (228 of 676) and 77.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 78.8 pts per contest (111th in college) while going 42.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Hornets are forcing 12.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.3 fouls. They are surrendering 34.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 350th in college hoops in points per game allowed (82.5). The Hornets are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.3% (862 of 1,863) and they surrender 39.5 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 347th in college in allowing assists with 506 conceded this year.

For their last game, the Idaho Vandals got the victory with a final of 85-81 against Eastern Washington. The Vandals collected 15 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 26 for the contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while recording 9 steals in the game. Eastern Washington committed 19 fouls for the game which took the Vandals to the free throw line for 17 tries. They were able to convert 11 of them for a percentage of 64.7%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Idaho converted 14 out of their 29 tries (48.3%). In all, the Vandals shot 30 for 63 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.6%. The Vandals allowed Eastern Washington to convert 27 out of their 50 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 54.0% for the contest. They finished shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line via 6 out of 18 and finished the game at 21 of 29 from the free throw line (72.4%). In reference to attacking the glass, Idaho permitted Eastern Washington to pull down 25 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Jackson Rasmussen was important for the Vandals in this matchup. He totaled 14 points in his 34 mins of playing time and had 4 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 5 of 13 for the matchup giving him a rate of 38.5%, and earned 8 rebounds.

Idaho has a record of 17-14 so far this year. The Vandals commit 18.5 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 73.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.1 times per contest (247th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per contest. Idaho has accounted for 2,449 pts for the year (79.0 per game) and they collect 37.0 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Vandals are shooting 44.8% from the floor, which is ranked 207th in the nation.

The Idaho defense allows 35.3% on 3-point shots (231 of 654) and opponents are making 74.2% of their free throw shots. They give up 11.8 dimes and 33.2 rebounds every game, which ranks them 58th and 103rd in the country. The Vandals on defense are ranked 182nd in college hoops in points given up per game with 73.8. They are able to force 11.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.9% from the field (158th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento State

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