Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana Grizzlies Prediction, 2/26/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana Grizzlies

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026

Location: Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT

TV: ESPN+

Dahlberg Arena is where the Montana Grizzlies (14-14) will attempt to beat the Sacramento State Hornets (9-18) on Thursday.

The Sacramento State Hornets took the court against Idaho and took a loss by a final of 86-80 in their last game. Sacramento State ended having earned a 41.8% FG percentage (23 of 55) and made 6 out of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Hornets converted 28 of their 33 attempts for a rate of 84.8%. In reference to hauling in boards, they compiled 28 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 13 assists for this game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 9 steals. When talking about defense, Sacramento State let their opponent shoot 41.9% from the field on 26 out of 62 shooting. Idaho dished out 17 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. Moreover, Idaho collected 41 boards (15 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Idaho finished 74.1% at the charity stripe by burying 20 of 27 tries. They also made 14 of their 34 attempts from beyond the arc. When it comes to fouls, the Hornets walked away with 21 while Idaho had 22 fouls.

Mark Lavrenov is a guy who had an impact in this contest. He finished the game at 46.7% from the field but didn't record an assist. He played 39 mins played and also totaled 12 boards. He ended up with 20 points on 7 of 15 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Tonight

Sacramento State enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-18 on the year. They average 79.5 points per outing (107th in Division 1) while shooting 42.6% from the floor. The Hornets are hitting 33.7% on shots from beyond the arc (208 of 617) and 78.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Sacramento State is snagging 34.8 rebounds per game and is sitting with 356 dimes this year, which is 266th in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 10.9 times per game and as a team they commit 18.7 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end of the court, the Hornets are forcing their opponents into 12.3 turnovers every game and they draw 19.7 fouls. They rank 343rd in Division 1 in giving up assists with 463 relinquished this year. The Hornets defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.2% (781 of 1,691) and they surrender 39.5 rebounds per game as a team. They surrender 34.7% from beyond the arc while they are 352nd in the nation in PPG allowed (83.2).

In their last game, the Montana Grizzlies took a loss by a final score of 92-72 against Weber State. With respect to how they attacked the glass, Montana allowed Weber State to get 33 in total (9 offensive). They went 50.0% from beyond the arc by shooting 9 of 18 and finished the game at 17 out of 21 at the free throw line (81.0%). The Grizzlies permitted Weber State to make 33 out of their 56 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 58.9% for the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Grizzlies finished shooting 25 for 56 from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.6%. When it comes to shooting from distance, Montana made 8 of 24 attempts (33.3%). They were able to bury 14 of the free throws for a clip of 82.4%. Weber State was called for 14 personal fouls for the contest which took the Grizzlies to the free throw line for a total of 17 attempts. They turned the ball over 10 times, while earning 7 steals for the contest. The Grizzlies were able to corral 13 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 17 in this game.

Kenyon Aguino ended up having an impact for the Grizzlies in the game. He buried 5 of 8 in this game for a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and added 1 rebound. He racked up 15 points in his 22 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the game.

Montana has a record of 14-14 this year. As an offense, the Grizzlies are connecting on 49.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 25th in Division 1. Montana has tallied 2,179 pts so far this season (77.8 per game) and they average 34.6 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 15.4 times per contest (97th in the country) and they are giving up possession 13.7 times per game. The Grizzlies are responsible for committing 17.9 fouls per game while shooting 77.6% from the charity stripe.

The Montana defense concedes 33.0% on shots from 3-point land (214 of 649) and their opponents are converting on 69.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 13.3 dimes and 33.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 174th and 87th in college. The Grizzlies on the defensive side of the court are 191st in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 74.0. They are able to force 10.9 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (145th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.