Sacramento State Hornets vs Northern Colorado Bears Prediction, 2/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Northern Colorado Bears
Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
Location: Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO
TV: ESPN+
The Sacramento State Hornets (9-14) are traveling to Bank of Colorado Arena on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Northern Colorado Bears (15-10).

The Sacramento State Hornets faced Portland State and ended up losing by a score of 74-73 in their last contest. Sacramento State walked away from the game with a 35.2% field goal percentage (19 of 54) and buried 10 out of their 22 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Hornets buried 25 of 30 tries for a rate of 83.3%. When it comes to hauling in boards, they earned 32 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 12 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In relation to defense, Sacramento State allowed 38.5% from the floor on 25 out of 65 shooting. Portland State totaled 8 dimes and had 5 steals for this game. On top of that, Portland State snagged 47 rebounds (17 offensive, 30 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Portland State went 76.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 20 of 26 shots. They also buried 4 out of their 20 shots from three-point range. When discussing fouls, the Hornets finished with 21 and Portland State racked up 21 fouls.
Prophet Johnson is a player who was a factor in this matchup. He ended up with 28 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 35 mins and also grabbed 7 boards. He went 56.3% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.
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Sacramento State comes into this game with a record of 9-14 on the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 18.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Sacramento State is pulling down 35.6 boards per contest and is sitting with 315 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 256th in the country in terms of passing. The Hornets are shooting 34.8% on shots from downtown (186 of 534) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 79.1 pts per game (119th in college hoops) while going 42.3% from the floor.
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When they are on defense, the Hornets are forcing 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.6 fouls. They are currently ranked 326th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 382 relinquished this year. The Hornets defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.4% (657 of 1,448) and they surrender 39.5 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 33.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 347th in college hoops in opponents PPG (81.9).
The last time they took the court, the Northern Colorado Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 69-61 when they played Idaho State. When discussing how they attacked the glass, Northern Colorado allowed Idaho State to get 29 in all (9 offensive). They went 31.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 out of 19 and finished the contest at 11 out of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). The Bears allowed Idaho State to bury 22 out of their 59 attempts from the field which had them at 37.3% for this game. In all, the Bears ended up going 28 for 54 from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.9%. In terms of three-point attempts, Northern Colorado made 6 out of 17 attempts (35.3%). They were able to make 7 of the free throw tries for a rate of 87.5%. Idaho State was called for 13 personal fouls for this game which took the Bears to the charity stripe for a total of 8 shots. They also turned it over 12 times, while recording 3 steals in this contest. The Bears were able to collect 29 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 35 in the matchup.
Brock Wisne ended up having an impact for the Bears for the game. He converted 8 of 11 for the contest giving him a rate of 72.7%, and accumulated 8 rebounds. He totaled 17 points in his 33 minutes on the court and totaled 1 assist for this game.
Northern Colorado has a record of 15-10 on the season. The Bears are committing 17.9 fouls per contest and they connect on 75.5% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per game (42nd in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.4 times per contest. Northern Colorado has accounted for 2,068 points this season (82.7 per game) and they average 36.7 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Bears are shooting 49.0% from the field, which is ranked 27th in college hoops.
The Northern Colorado defense allows 30.7% on shots from 3-point land (161 of 524) and their opponents are connecting on 76.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 10.0 assists and 31.6 rebounds per game, which ranks them 6th and 45th in college hoops. The Bears defensively are ranked 268th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 77.1. They are forcing 9.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.1% from the floor (251st in college).
Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Northern Colorado
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Additional Resources:
Northern Colorado Bears - Twitter
Sacramento State Hornets - Twitter

