San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO

TV: ESPN+

Clune Arena is the site where the Air Force Falcons (3-19) will take on the San Diego State Aztecs (16-6) on Saturday.

The San Diego State Aztecs took the court against Wyoming and took home the win by a score of 72-63 in their last game. San Diego State wrapped up the game with a 45.1% field goal percentage (23 out of 51) and buried 3 of 18 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Aztecs converted 23 of their 36 shots for a rate of 63.9%. When discussing hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 28 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 15 assists for this contest while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Pertaining to defending, San Diego State allowed the other team to go 32.1% from the field on 17 out of 53 shooting. Wyoming distributed 14 assists and had 6 steals for this game. Moreover, Wyoming pulled down 28 boards (11 offensive, 17 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Wyoming shot 76.9% at the free throw line by making 20 of 26 tries. They made 9 of their 32 shots from 3-point range. When it comes to fouls, the Aztecs finished with 21 while Wyoming accounted for 25 fouls.

Reese Dixon-Waters is one guy who was a factor in the game. He accounted for 23 points on 6 out of 10 shooting. He was on the court for 34 mins and also pulled down 3 boards. He shot 60.0% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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San Diego State will enter this game with a win-loss record of 16-6 so far this year. They turn the ball over 12.7 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.9 fouls every game. As a unit, San Diego State is grabbing 36.1 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 345 assists this year, which has them ranked 121st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Aztecs are connecting on 36.3% on 3-pointers (153 of 422) and 74.4% from the free throw line. They have an average of 79.8 points per outing (110th in college) while shooting 47.9% from the field.

Defensively, the Aztecs are able to force 15.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 164th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 299 surrendered on the year. The Aztecs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 39.4% (503 of 1,276) and they relinquish 33.7 boards per game as a team. They are surrendering 32.3% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 96th in college hoops in PPG allowed (70.6).

For their last game, the Air Force Falcons took a loss by a final score of 81-57 against Grand Canyon. The Falcons corralled 21 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 26 for this game. They also coughed up the ball 18 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. Grand Canyon was called for 14 personal fouls in the game which got the Falcons to the free throw line for a total of 12 tries. They were able to bury 11 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 91.7%. With respect to 3-pointers, Air Force converted 6 of their 21 tries (28.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Falcons finished the game shooting 20 for 51 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.2%. The Falcons allowed Grand Canyon to convert 32 out of 61 tries from the floor which had them at 52.5% in this matchup. They finished 30.4% from three-point range by connecting on 7 of 23 and finished the contest at 10 of 21 from the free throw line (47.6%). With respect to attacking the glass, Air Force allowed Grand Canyon to pull down 36 in total (11 offensive).

William Dering ended up being a major contributor for the Falcons for this contest. He recorded 15 points in his 24 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to get an assist. He knocked down 7 out of 10 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 70.0%, and had 5 rebounds.

Air Force has a record of 3-19 this season. As an offense, the Falcons are shooting 42.4% from the field, which ranks 316th in D-1. Air Force has accumulated 1,345 points on the year (61.1 per game) and they pull in 29.5 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 11.8 times per contest (327th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 14.9 times per game. The Falcons are committing 17.5 fouls every game and they connect on 65.2% from the free throw line.

The Air Force defense concedes 36.8% on 3-point attempts (179 of 486) and their opponents are knocking down 71.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 14.8 dimes and 35.8 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 280th and 255th in the country. The Falcons on the defensive side of the court are 274th in the country in PPG given up with 77.4. They are forcing 10.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.9% from the floor (344th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego State

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