San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID

TV: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos (17-11) will try to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs (19-8) at ExtraMile Arena on Tuesday.

The San Diego State Aztecs stepped onto the hardwood against New Mexico and ended up losing by a score of 81-76 in their last contest. San Diego State finished the contest having earned a 45.0% field goal percentage (27 of 60) and converted 9 of their 31 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Aztecs made 13 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 59.1%. With regard to rebounding, they compiled a total of 34 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 19 assists for this contest while forcing 6 turnovers and getting 4 steals. Pertaining to the defense, San Diego State allowed their opponent to shoot 39.3% from the floor on 24 out of 61 shooting. New Mexico doled out 13 assists and had 4 steals in the matchup. Additionally, New Mexico grabbed 39 rebounds (14 offensive, 25 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. New Mexico shot 69.4% from the free throw line by making 25 of their 36 attempts. They also made 8 out of their 23 tries from beyond the perimeter. In relation to personal fouls, the Aztecs finished with 23 while New Mexico had 18 personal fouls.

Miles Byrd is one player who was important for the game. He ended up going 50.0% from the field and recorded 1 assist. He saw the court for 28 mins played and collected 7 boards. He ended up with 17 points on 5 of 10 shooting.

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San Diego State steps onto the court with a mark of 19-8 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.3 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.9 fouls per contest. As a unit, San Diego State is grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game and has racked up 417 assists for the season, which has them ranked 140th in the country in terms of passing. The Aztecs are shooting 35.8% on 3-point shots (185 of 517) and 75.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 79.3 points per outing (105th in Division 1) while going 47.6% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Aztecs have forced 15.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.7 fouls. They are currently ranked 105th in college in giving up assists with 362 conceded so far this season. The Aztecs are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 39.6% (609 of 1,538) and they surrender 33.4 rebounds per game as a team. They give up 32.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 79th in D-1 in points per game allowed (70.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Boise State Broncos walked away with a victory by a final of 69-53 when they played Fresno State. With respect to rebounding, Boise State allowed Fresno State to collect 29 in total (7 offensive). They shot 16.7% from downtown by connecting on 3 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 6 of 9 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Broncos permitted Fresno State to convert 22 of their 54 attempts from the field which had them shooting 40.7% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Broncos finished 26 for 65 from the floor which had them sitting at 40.0%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Boise State converted 11 of their 37 attempts (29.7%). They were able to knock down 6 of them for a clip of 75.0%. Fresno State had 12 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Broncos to the free throw line for a total of 8 tries. They coughed it up 9 times, while getting 5 steals in this game. The Broncos were able to pull down 24 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 39 for the contest.

Javan Buchanan ended up being a major contributor for the Broncos in this game. He converted 11 of 18 in this game for a rate of 61.1%, and had 6 rebounds. He tallied 26 points in his 34 mins on the court and had 3 assists in this matchup.

Boise State has a mark of 17-11 for the year. As an offensive team, the Broncos are connecting on 45.4% from the floor, which ranks them 175th in the nation. Boise State has earned 2,195 pts so far this season (78.4 per contest) and they collect 35.5 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.7 times per contest (197th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 11.6 times per contest. The Broncos are committing 17.2 fouls per contest and they shoot 78.3% from the free throw line.

The Boise State defense surrenders 35.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (213 of 604) and their opponents are connecting on 71.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 12.3 dimes and 29.2 boards per game, which ranks them 90th and 7th in those categories on the defensive end. The Broncos are ranked 190th in Division 1 in PPG given up with 73.9. They have forced 10.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 46.1% from the field (290th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego State

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