San Diego State Aztecs vs Grand Canyon Lopes Prediction, 1/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Grand Canyon Lopes

Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Location: Global Credit Union Arena in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego State Aztecs (13-4) are on their way to Global Credit Union Arena on Wednesday where they will take on the Grand Canyon Lopes (11-6).

The San Diego State Aztecs took the court against New Mexico and took home the win by a score of 83-79 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Aztecs ended up with 18 and New Mexico had 22 fouls. They made 12 of 30 shots from beyond the perimeter. New Mexico finished the game at 71.4% at the charity stripe by burying 15 of 21 attempts. In addition, New Mexico snagged 35 rebounds (9 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. New Mexico recorded 15 dimes and had 10 steals in this matchup. With respect to defense, San Diego State let their opponent shoot 42.6% from the floor on 26 out of 61 shooting. They also recorded 12 dimes for the matchup as well as creating 16 turnovers and getting 13 steals. In reference to grabbing boards, they earned 36 with 8 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Aztecs knocked down 22 of 30 attempts for a percentage of 73.3%. San Diego State finished the game with a 49.1% field goal percentage (27 out of 55) and converted 7 out of their 17 3-pointers.

Miles Byrd is one guy who played a role in this matchup. He accumulated 21 points on 5 of 9 shooting. He was on the court for 31 minutes and totaled 8 boards. He finished the game shooting 55.6% from the field and also earned 3 assists.

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San Diego State heads into this game with a mark of 13-4 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 13.1 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.8 fouls per game. As a unit, San Diego State is grabbing 37.4 boards per game and has racked up 281 dimes so far this year, which ranks 121st in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Aztecs are hitting 37.8% on three-point shots (127 of 336) and 73.9% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 82.0 points per game (84th in D-1) while connecting on 48.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Aztecs are forcing 14.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.5 personal fouls. They give up 32.7% from beyond the arc while they are 143rd in the country in opponents points per game (72.2). The Aztecs defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.5% (399 of 1,010) and they surrender 34.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They currently rank 141st in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 236 surrendered on the year.

In their last game, the Grand Canyon Lopes took home the win by a final score of 84-74 against Utah State. The Lopes recorded 24 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. Utah State had 27 personal fouls in this contest which got the Lopes to the charity stripe for 33 shots. They were able to convert 23 of those for a percentage of 69.7%. In terms of three-point shots, Grand Canyon converted 7 of their 20 tries (35.0%). When the game finished, the Lopes shot 27 out of 53 from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.9%. The Lopes allowed Utah State to make 25 of their 69 tries from the floor which had them shooting 36.2% for the game. They finished shooting 25.0% from three-point range by shooting 7 of 28 and ended up shooting 17 of 23 at the free throw line (73.9%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Grand Canyon permitted Utah State to pull down 40 in all (22 on the offensive side).

Brian Moore Jr. was important for the Lopes in this matchup. He knocked down 6 of 10 for this contest giving him a rate of 60.0%, and had 4 rebounds. He had 20 points in his 37 minutes on the court and had 4 assists for the contest.

Grand Canyon has a mark of 11-6 on the year. As an offensive team, the Lopes are hitting on 44.5% from the floor, which ranks them 241st in the country. Grand Canyon has earned 1,281 pts this year (75.4 per game) and they pull down 36.2 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 13.0 times per contest (273rd in college) and they are turning it over 12.2 times per contest. The Lopes are responsible for committing 18.4 personal fouls per contest and they hit 76.3% from the free throw line.

The Lopes are ranked 63rd in college in points per game surrendered with 68.9. They have forced 12.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.0% from the field (89th in the country). The Grand Canyon defense surrenders 31.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (119 of 380) and their opponents are knocking down 71.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 11.4 dimes and 31.4 boards per contest, which has them ranked 42nd and 41st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Grand Canyon

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