San Diego Toreros vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Toreros vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

University Credit Union Pavilion is where the St. Mary's Gaels (19-4) will attempt to beat the San Diego Toreros (10-14) on Wednesday.

The San Diego Toreros took the court against Oregon State and took a loss by a final of 78-76 in their last game. San Diego finished with a 43.3% field goal percentage (29 out of 67) and converted 9 of their 29 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Toreros knocked down 9 of their 12 shots for a rate of 75.0%. In relation to hauling in boards, they earned 36 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 16 dimes in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and getting 12 steals. In reference to the defense, San Diego allowed the other team to shoot 40.3% from the floor on 25 of 62 shooting. Oregon State doled out 21 assists and had 10 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Oregon State grabbed 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Oregon State finished shooting 66.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 18 of their 27 tries. They also made 10 of their 26 attempts from beyond the perimeter. When discussing fouls, the Toreros left the arena with 23 and Oregon State totaled 16 fouls.

Adrian McIntyre is a player who was a factor in this contest. He finished the game shooting 58.3% from the field and also recorded 6 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 29 mins played and collected 6 boards. He ended up finishing with 21 points on 7 of 12 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Betting Picks

San Diego will enter this matchup with a mark of 10-14 for the year. They currently have an average of 76.8 points per contest (177th in college hoops) while connecting on 44.5% from the field. The Toreros are hitting 34.4% on three-point shots (218 of 633) and 77.1% from the free throw line. As a team, San Diego is pulling down 32.8 rebounds per game and has racked up 387 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 32nd in Division 1 in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.0 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.3 fouls every game.

On defense, the Toreros have forced 14.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.3 personal fouls. They are conceding 31.8% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 295th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (78.1). The Toreros defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.3% (659 of 1,423) and they surrender 36.8 boards per contest as a unit. They currently rank 347th in the nation in giving up assists with 375 conceded for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the St. Mary's Gaels took a loss by a final score of 73-65 when they played Gonzaga. When it comes to rebounding, St. Mary's permitted Gonzaga to snag 36 in total (10 offensive). They finished the game shooting 35.3% from 3-point land by going 6 of 17 and finished the game at 13 of 21 at the free throw line (61.9%). The Gaels allowed Gonzaga to bury 27 out of 58 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.6% for this game. When all was said and done, the Gaels went 18 for 53 from the field which had them at 34.0%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, St. Mary's converted 6 out of their 21 tries (28.6%). They were able to bury 23 of those for a percentage of 92.0%. Gonzaga had 18 fouls in this game which got the Gaels to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They coughed it up 9 times, while getting 6 steals in this game. The Gaels were able to pull down 26 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 31 for the game.

Joshua Dent ended up being important for the Gaels for this contest. He earned 16 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and earned 3 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 6 out of 12 in this game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and tallied 6 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a record of 19-4 for the season. As an offensive team, the Gaels are connecting on 46.1% from the floor, which is ranked 135th in the nation. St. Mary's has earned 1,794 points on the campaign (78.0 per game) and they collect 39.4 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.0 times per game (125th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.2 times per contest. The Gaels are committing 15.9 fouls per contest and they hit 81.6% from the charity stripe.

The St. Mary's defense surrenders 29.9% on 3-point attempts (143 of 478) and opponents are connecting on 73.2% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 12.7 assists and 29.1 total boards per game, which has them ranked 125th and 5th in those categories on the defensive end. The Gaels on the defensive end are ranked 17th in D-1 in PPG given up with 64.9. They are able to force 10.5 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.7% from the field (41st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.