San Francisco Dons vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Dons vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN2

The San Francisco Dons (14-11) are en route to University Credit Union Pavilion on Saturday where they will take on the St. Mary's Gaels (20-4).

The San Francisco Dons played Loyola Marymount and went home with a loss by a final score of 84-75 in their last contest. San Francisco ended having earned a 32.0% FG percentage (16 of 50) and buried 6 of their 21 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Dons knocked down 37 of their 42 attempts for a rate of 88.1%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 31 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 7 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. In the matter of defending, San Francisco allowed their opponent to shoot 48.3% from the floor on 29 out of 60 shooting. Loyola Marymount earned 14 assists and had 5 steals in the game. In addition, Loyola Marymount snagged 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Loyola Marymount walked away from this one shooting 76.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 16 of 21 attempts. They converted 10 out of their 24 tries from beyond the arc. When talking about fouls, the Dons finished with 19 while Loyola Marymount had 31 fouls.

Ryan Beasley is a player who played a role for the game. He walked away from this one shooting 40.0% from the field and recorded 1 assist. He played for 37 mins played and also collected 7 rebounds. He ended up with 30 points on 4 out of 10 shooting.

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San Francisco comes into this contest with a mark of 14-11 so far this year. They turn the ball over 11.2 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, San Francisco is pulling down 37.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 354 dimes for the year, which ranks 97th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Dons are connecting on 35.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (231 of 650) and 71.3% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 75.7 points per contest (195th in the country) while connecting on 44.1% from the field.

Defensively, the Dons are forcing their opponents into 9.6 turnovers per game and they draw 19.2 fouls. They are relinquishing 32.7% on three-point shots while they are 122nd in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (71.5). The Dons are allowing a FG percentage of 43.0% (641 of 1,489) and they concede 32.8 boards per game as a squad. They currently rank 242nd in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 323 relinquished for the season.

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels went home victorious with a score of 87-60 against San Diego. The Gaels earned 27 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 39 in this matchup. They turned the ball over 10 times, while recording 9 steals for the contest. San Diego committed 17 fouls in the matchup which got the Gaels to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to convert 16 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 80.0%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, St. Mary's knocked down 11 of 21 attempts (52.4%). When the final whistle was blown, the Gaels shot 30 for 57 from the field which had them shooting 52.6%. The Gaels allowed San Diego to make 23 of 57 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.4% for the matchup. They went 37.5% from beyond the perimeter by going 9 of 24 and ended up going 5 of 13 from the charity stripe (38.5%). When discussing rebounding, St. Mary's permitted San Diego to grab 25 overall (9 on the offensive side).

Dillan Shaw ended up being a major contributor for the Gaels for the contest. He converted 5 out of 8 in the game giving him a rate of 62.5%, and accounted for 10 rebounds. He accumulated 14 points in his 32 minutes of playing time and had 2 assists in this matchup.

St. Mary's has a mark of 20-4 on the year. The Gaels are committing 15.9 fouls per contest while shooting 81.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 15.2 times per contest (115th in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.1 times per contest. St. Mary's has 1,881 pts so far this year (78.4 per game) and they collect 39.5 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Gaels are connecting on 46.3% from the floor, which is 121st in college hoops.

The St. Mary's defense allows 30.3% on three-point shots (152 of 502) and their opponents are making 71.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 12.8 dimes and 29.0 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 133rd and 5th in the nation. The Gaels on defense are ranked 14th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 64.7. They are forcing their opponents into 10.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 40.7% from the floor (41st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Francisco

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