San Jose State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Jose State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Thomas & Mack Center is the location where the Boise State Broncos (20-11) will go up against the San Jose State Spartans (8-23) on Wednesday in the Mountain West Tournament.

The San Jose State Spartans faced off with Wyoming and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 88-78 in their last game. San Jose State walked away from the game having earned a 53.6% FG percentage (30 of 56) and made 2 of 9 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Spartans made 16 of 22 attempts for a percentage of 72.7%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned 17 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 6 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When talking about defense, San Jose State let their opponent shoot 57.1% from the floor on 32 out of 56 shooting. Wyoming doled out 15 assists and had 2 steals in this contest. On top of that, Wyoming collected 31 rebounds (14 offensive, 17 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Wyoming shot 100.0% at the charity stripe by making 15 of 15 attempts. They also made 9 of their 19 tries from beyond the arc. Regarding fouls, the Spartans walked away with 15 while Wyoming finished the game with 17 fouls.

Colby Garland is one guy who was a factor for the contest. He ended up scoring 24 points on 8 out of 16 shooting. He played for 34 mins and also snagged 4 rebounds. He shot 50.0% from the floor and also earned 5 dimes.

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San Jose State comes into this matchup with a record of 8-23 for the year. They are giving up possession 10.1 times per contest and as a unit are committing 17.6 fouls per game. As a team, San Jose State is snagging 29.8 boards per game and is sitting with 328 dimes this year, which is 355th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Spartans are shooting 35.8% on shots from downtown (240 of 670) and 73.6% from the free throw line. They have an average of 71.5 pts per contest (284th in college hoops) while hitting 43.5% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Spartans are able to force 11.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.4 personal fouls. They relinquish 36.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 301st in college hoops in points per game allowed (78.2). The Spartans are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 49.4% (853 of 1,726) and they concede 34.4 boards per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 317th in the nation in giving up assists with 491 relinquished for the campaign.

When they last stepped on the court, the Boise State Broncos walked away with a victory by a final of 78-67 when they played Colorado State. The Broncos earned 23 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 4 steals in the matchup. Colorado State was called for 17 fouls for this game which got the Broncos to the charity stripe for a total of 25 shots. They were able to convert 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 80.0%. In reference to three-point shots, Boise State buried 6 of their 19 tries (31.6%). When the game finished, the Broncos went 26 for 51 from the floor which had them sitting at 51.0%. The Broncos permitted Colorado State to knock down 26 out of 52 tries from the field which had them shooting 50.0% in this game. They finished 30.0% from distance by hitting 6 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 9 of 14 at the charity stripe (64.3%). Concerning how they rebounded, Boise State allowed Colorado State to pull down 19 in all (4 on the offensive glass).

Drew Fielder pitched in for the Broncos for the matchup. He converted 10 of 15 for this game giving him a rate of 66.7%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. He accumulated 23 points in his 28 mins on the court and added 1 assist in the game.

Boise State has a win-loss mark of 20-11 so far this season. As an offensive team, the Broncos are shooting 45.5% from the floor, which ranks 168th in college hoops. Boise State has scored 2,428 points for the campaign (78.3 per contest) and they pull in 35.9 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 13.2 times per contest (237th in college hoops) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.6 times per game. The Broncos commit 17.0 fouls per contest while shooting 78.4% from the charity stripe.

The Broncos on the defensive side of the court are 158th in college in points allowed per game with 73.1. They are forcing their opponents into 9.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.1% from the field (290th in Division 1). The Boise State defense surrenders 34.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (228 of 658) and their opponents are connecting on 71.5% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 12.3 dimes and 28.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 86th and 3rd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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